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[Cutty Flam]

Your estimate of how many copies Metroid Dread will sell? It's kind of anyone's guess

 

[Banjo64]

Someone has voted for 14&15 million? I’m astounded. I went with 4 million, which I think would be great sales for this game.

 

[tommib]

With the way first party games are selling, I’m honestly looking at +10 million units for the full life cycle.

 

[tommib]

Someone has voted for 14&15 million? I’m astounded. I went with 4 million, which I think would be great sales for this game.

That was meeeee!

 

[Gameplaylover]

Not the typical kids game, i think 3 million.

 

[Xyphie]

500k-1M.

 

[Banjo64]

That was meeeee!

Sorry pal, it’s not a dig and you may well be right considering Animal Crossing has sold 32 million copies. I just personally think it’s be hard for Metroid to gain as much traction as something like Monster Hunter Rise.

 

[Marty-McFly]

The best Metroid has ever sold was 3 million (Prime 1).

I'm looking at 4-10 million lifetime sales which is massive for the 2D franchise.

I think Prime 4 can do over 10 million

Currently Dread is more preordered than Pokemon or Mario Party at Gamestop

No.	Game
1.	Metroid Dread
2.	Pokemon Brilliant Diamond/Shining Pearl Double Pack
3.	Mario Party Superstars
4.	Pokemon Legends: Arceus
5.	Shin Megami Tensei 5
6.	Pokemon Brilliant Diamond
7.	WarioWare: Get it Together!
8.	Doki Doki Literature Club Plus
9.	Sonic Colors: Ultimate
10.	Advance Wars 1+2: Re-Boot Camp

 

[tommib]

Sorry pal, it’s not a dig and you may well be right considering Animal Crossing has sold 32 million copies. I just personally think it’s be hard for Metroid to gain as much traction as something like Monster Hunter Rise.

And you’re probably right but 1st party titles are all around 40 million. Hard to predict how this is going to sell.

 

[Vagswarm]

Some people are going to vote the crazy high numbers just to do it. I wouldn't even allow anything higher than 15 million.

I say 3 million.

 

[Coolwhhip]

How many did Skyward Sword on Switch sell?

 

[Marty-McFly]

And you’re probably right but 1st party titles are all around 40 million. Hard to predict how this is going to sell.

15 million for 2D Metroid? BOTW is only at 20.

I'm about as optimistic as you can get on this.

4-10 million would be a smashing success and a series best.

 

[Mr Hyde]

Over 9000.

 

[Marty-McFly]

Some people are going to vote the crazy high numbers just to do it. I wouldn't even allow anything higher than 15 million.

I say 3 million.

Nintendo would be very happy with 3 million but I think the Switch effect will carry it a bit higher.

 

[Marty-McFly]

How many did Skyward Sword on Switch sell?

It's selling very well. Way too early to say. It will definitely sell higher than the Wii U release when all is said and done.

 

[Shubh_C63]

Wanted to vote 2M but went with 3.

This is launch year or lifetime ?

 

[Cutty Flam]

This is launch year or lifetime ?

Lifetime

 

[Zannegan]

On the one hand, Metroid's never been *that* big of a seller. On the other, there's the Switch effect. I went with 5 million.

 

[GrayFoxPL]

46 copies.

 

[Portugeezer]

More than prime, so 3 million.

 

[Bernd Lauert]

Four million.

 

[jigglet]

Why does your poll stop at 33-35 million?

 

[KungFucius]

3 million. Maybe more if it goes on discount and switch is still a major platform for 3 or more years or if switch games still get sold for Switch 2 due to BW compatibility.

 

[Robb]

I went with 4M, might be a bit too optimistic though. Metroid usually don't sell all that great.

 

[GasTheWeebs]

1.786.456 by the end of Switch generation.
2.347.643 by the end of Switch successor adding the Full HD-60fps remaster sales.

18.456.456 in 10 years when Nintendo stops selling hardware and game is on Steam.

 

[Y0ssarian]

About tree fiddy

 

[Werewolf Jones]

Like 5 milli at most.

 

[Buggy Loop]

I went with 6M. The starving effect this year, the long wait on dread and the switch effect should make this one break the franchise’s record.

 

[Marvel]

22.

 

[Cutty Flam]

Why does your poll stop at 33-35 million?

It’s been constructed off of what I’ve seen with certain games for the Nintendo Switch

For instance, I know that Mario Kart 8 Deluxe has sold about 37 million copies. Animal Crossing: New Horizons has sold around 34 million copies. If you look at The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild, it’s sold 22.28 million copies and that’s more what I based my guess off of, among other reasons. It’s highly doubtful the game sells 35 million copies but who would have guessed Animal Crossing would have sold what it did? I put the limit at 35 mil to give this game the benefit of the doubt just in case something unthinkable happens with its sales

 

[SpongebobSquaredance]

3-6 million

I am pretty sure that the Switch will boost the sales. It's also releasing at the perfect time when looking at how many indie hits are inspired by 2D Metroid.
It's very likely that Dread is going to be the series's best seller until Prime 4.

 

[Griffon]

I expect it somewhere between Super Metroid and Metroid Fusion. Less or barely one million. And I'm optimistic.

I don't think Samus Returns crossed the million line either.

 

[RoboFu]

its basically a 2D metroid but its not on a secondary hand held this time so I would say 1 million.

 

[MagiusNecros]

Ask the scalpers hoarding all the Special Editions.

 

[OneMoreDay]

It's a good question. There's not much competition on the Switch when it launches, and Metroid does have a hardcore fanbase. I feel like 2 mill is guaranteed, but it might do better if it's a hit among today's youngsters and teens.

 

[MagiusNecros]

It only has to sell 3 million to be a "success" since Metroid has always been a niche series. Since it actually continues the narrative and actually has marketing push I want to believe the game will do decently by not only drawing in a new audience but also make a lot of fans happy that stuck with the franchise since it's inception.

The best selling Metroid was Prime 1 and sales plummeted with each entry.

For 20 years the Metroid saga we've had nothing but "manga filler" content and it will rather be exciting to get the final chapter in the "Metroid" story arc.

I just hope that Mercurysteam doesn't go heavy on cinematics so it doesn't break the flow of gameplay.

Thus far most of the cinematics are short and sweet. So it remains promising.

 

[AJUMP23]

I think it is a 5 million seller.

 

[Ceadeus]

2M top. I don't see a Metroid game selling much more than that.

 

[Thaedolus]

Probably a lot for a Metroid game but not much for a Nintendo first party game

 

[BaneIsPain]

It should be in the range 3-4 millions. I would be surprised if it makes 10 millions.

 

[deriks]

Based that Switch has almost 100 million sales I said three million

 

[Arsic]

Less than a million worldwide opening week.

 

[Trogdor1123]

I said 3 million

 

[Jeeves]

I'm being what I think is slightly optimistic and saying 5 mil. I think it'll easily do 3 and anyone saying less than that is trolling or out of their mind.

 

[Stefan.North]

Although I see 2 milion as a low bar, I voted for it. Probably closer to 3.

 

[Needlecrash]

Since this is Metroid 5, I expect copies to fly off the shelf. We haven't had a mainline Metroid game since Fusion (4) in 2002. Hell, even the special editions are hard to come by now.

 

[Ailike]

Yeesh. Some people need to step outside their own fandom bubble and consider context and history before making predictions. While -you- may be thirsty for a new Metroid (I get it, I do), the mainstream Nintendo crowd has been pretty cool on it, as evidenced by that 4 million Prime figure. And that was Prime. I think many fans might feel burned by Other M to jump right in with fervor too. It'd be nice if I'm wrong and its a great game with a good showing, which would be a great bellwether, but let's be objective.

 

[graywolf323]

I normally love polls but this overkill in options give more ranges

I guess around 5 million? everything seems to be punching above it's previous weight class on Switch so far so I wouldn't be surprised to see Dread end up the best selling Metroid (at least until Prime 4)

 

[Supermjmt12]

I'm going safe with 2 million but I'm hoping for 5 million

 

[Neff]

I'll be generous and say 6m