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Severe problems with ATI's R520 'Fudo' GPU for PC. true? or just Nvidia FUD ?

I wasn't aware of any serious, severe problems or rumored problems with ATI's R520 'Fudo' graphics processor for PCs.

one article talks about these problems, and then an Inquirer article mentions the problems from the first article but Inq says they are hopeful that the problems with R520 is just Nvida FUD and BS.


http://www.penstarsys.com/editor/company/ati/r520/index.html
Trouble for ATI?

R520 Issues

by Josh Walrath



I have received some rather interesting information about some of the issues facing ATI at this time. Several months ago it was suggested that ATI would be unveiling the R520 chip in April, then that time was pushed back to May, then it was rumored that it would be released during Computex. Now, all of those times have passed, and so far no next generation product from ATI. Several pieces of information have dropped into my hands, and I thought that I would share them here.

The R520 was supposedly taped out around 7 to 8 months ago (I haven’t been able to pin down an exact time). Now, it usually takes a good three months before production quality silicon can be received back from the Fab (this includes time to get first silicon, make possible metal layer changes, respin the design, etc.). Once production quality is achieved, then the initial orders for the production parts are sent and it takes generally around three more months to get these initial orders back from the Fab and packaged and sent off to the board partners. So, it typically takes around six months between the initial tapeout to when we can expect solid quantities of products to be hitting the shelves. So far that of course has not happened.

It has been widely commented on that TSMC’s 90 nm Low-K process is actually quite robust, and the yields and bins are better than expected with such a new and complex process. So if ATI’s R520 taped out so long ago, and TSMC’s process is running at a higher efficiency than expected for this time frame, where are the R520 parts? The information I have received paints a rather grim picture for ATI. Add to that the recent information released by ATI about the lower than expected revenues due to product pressure and poor yields and packaging problems, things are not as happy as they should be.

The information on the R520 suggests that there are some extreme yield problems with the current design. Not only are there few working dice per wafer, but a large number of those dice only have 16 pixel units working, and others are lucky to get 24 working. The information I received suggested that the R520 was in fact designed with 32 pixel units (each with multiple ALU’s), but due to the issues that the chip is facing, very few of them so far are fully functioning. There are of course fully functioning parts that have been shown behind closed doors, and apparently Abit showed off a working card at AConn that scored some impressive 3D Marks.

Another issue that ATI appears to be running into with the R520 is current leakage. AMD and Intel got around most of their current leakage problems with some advanced fabrication techniques and overall design. While the Pentium 4 Prescott is a pretty leaky monster, it also runs at 3.8 GHz at max. Once this gets turned down to under 3.0 GHz it starts to act a lot nicer. AMD uses a combination of design, SOI, and strained silicon to keep leakage at a minimum. Intel on the other hand uses Low-K and strained silicon to keep current leakage in check. While TSMC’s process runs Low-K, they do not offer strained technology. Also, ATI is using standard cells to design their chips, as compared to AMD and Intel which use full custom cell designs (which is one of the reasons why graphics chips run at 500 MHz vs. a processor which runs above 2.0 GHz). A standard cell gives ASIC designers a quick way to achieve complex layouts with a minimal amount of engineering resources, while a full custom design will give greater performance and better power features than a standard cell, but it requires hundreds of dedicated engineers to layout a complex custom cell design. While ATI has signed agreements with companies such as Intrinsity, which promises to give its customers custom cell performance at standard cell prices, so far we have yet to see the fruits of such collaborations. From my understanding, the R520 is not going to utilize dynamic logic, but rather standard CMOS technology.

This bit of information leads to a second possible problem. ATI also is trying to perfect the R500 chip, which will be used in the X-Box 360. Is the R500 going through the same teething process as the R520? It is hard to say, especially because the R500 is a totally different architecture with a much different design methodology. The R500 does not necessarily have to hit high clock speeds, so that takes a lot of the binning pressure off. Because the X-Box 360 is a closed architecture, as long as the R500 hits the minimum performance criteria set by Microsoft, it doesn’t need to run at 600 MHz to achieve its performance goals. It is not as if ATI is in a runoff with another company, and whichever company builds the faster product with good yields gets the contract. So, production pressure is not as extreme for ATI with the R500 as it is for the R520.

With this information in hand, it looks as if NVIDIA could have a big leg up on ATI for the next several quarters. While the rumored specs of the G70 are not as impressive as that of the R520, NVIDIA looks to have no problems producing G70 chips. This is actually quite reminiscent of the R300/NV30 situation. One company decided to use a new process for a large and complex part, while the other company sacrificed die size and overall clock speed to achieve more sustainable yields (and less risk). My impression is that the R520 is not a dog, and will be a very competent SM 3.0 part, but the ability to adequately cool/power/produce the R520 is in severe doubt at this time. While ATI will most likely respin the design (or already has done so many times) to achieve better yields and lower leakage, their time to market will be severely impacted by the issues that they have encountered so far. If the latest design they have sent off for production is a success, we still will not see the R520 introduced until early Fall, and then we have to question the availability of this product. While the G70 is a huge die on 110 nm (or so the current speculation goes), that is a very well known and mature process that will allow solid yields and speed bins for a product designed for it.


http://www.theinquirer.net/?article=23822
Nvidia rushes ahead on its G70 plans

The R520 isn't here, it's leaky, it's....


By Fuad Abazovic: Thursday 09 June 2005, 07:19

NVIDIA IS FAR ahead with development of its G70 announcement. It will take place in less than two weeks, while R520 is still down the road, and with no fixed launch date yet.
Some sites on the net are claiming that R520 is the next NV30, has leakage problems and is pretty much falling apart. You can check such claims here. We know that information comes from Nvidia as it wants this kind of FUD about its competitor component out.

We can confirm that the first R520 silicon did had some problems and that chip is re-taped out again and most of the problems are gone. We confirm that 90 nanometres is a risky process, but it seems that ATI knows what it is doing. Even if ATI decides to go for 24 pipelines, the yields will be acceptable at least according to our usually very highly reliable sources.

It's really time to start calling G70 by its given Geforce 7800 name. Nvidia is briefing the press at San Francisco as we speak to teach them all they need to know about the latest greatest G70, Geforce 7800 GTX.

Even though it sounds crazy, we have a strong belief that ATI hasn't shown the real McCoy to Dell and HP as it doesn’t want Nvidia to know the details until it's too late.

ATI plans to finalise R520 details just after Nvidia releases the G70. It's a dirty trick, but this is business. After ATI released Crossfire, its dual VPU thing, Nvidia didn't have any other choice than to release a new chip. ATI is becoming faster in single, X850XT PE and dual cards as some of our colleagues proved in Taiwan. Mind you, Crossfire is not available yet. That makes a difference, as Nvidia knows with SLI.

Taiwanese partners still haven’t seen R520 and I believe that ATI wants to keep this card for itself till it figures out how many pipelines should it enable. It would be bad to show the card faster than the one that it plans to ship. ATI will make R520 as fast as it should be, just to beat G70. We heard at least some game developers have seen R520 but I guess that we are talking about those loyal to ATI. We know that the guys at Remedy have those cards, because we saw them running them.

TSMC doesn't have any demand for 90 nanometres from ATI but I guess ATI is still not close to production. It's still tuning the chip. Like we said, a 24 pipes part will have acceptable yields for high end product and if it comes to 32 pipes yields won't be that good but it will be a very fast card. Whatever happens with R520, R580 will have all 32 pipelines enabled.

One of the best comments about R520 is that Richard Huddy, ex Nvidia and now top ATI developer spinner, hasn't made any bold claims to the press about R520 dominance. He is being uncharacteristically quiet.

So Nvidia wants you all to believe that G70 is the winner and ready and R520 is a bad leaky product, not ready, not good, late and not here.

We still have strong reason to believe that ATI will shock you all, but the Nvidia G70 announcement still comes first, just less than a two weeks now. µ
 
Well that sucks for PC owners and ATI lovers if true. Good thing the 360 GPU hasn't had any problems and is already in production.
 
hmmm, this Forbes article seems to corroberate the claims of the first, negative-sounding article.

http://www.forbes.com/markets/2005/06/07/0607automarketscan10.html?partner=yahootix&referrer=

ATI Hindered By Product Delays, Potential Share Loss
06.07.05, 12:13 PM ET

Goldman Sachs reiterated an "in line" rating and reduced earnings estimates on ATI Technologies , citing concerns. Goldman said, "First, we remain concerned with the delay of ATI's next generation high-end graphics processor, code-named R520, which appears to be now due out in August, flatly missing the 'spring refresh' window. Given the tape-out took place as far back as October, and Taiwan Semiconductor's yields on 90nm have been generally good on other products including the Xbox 360 graphics chip, we believe the delay is due to a design issue."

The research firm is also concerned about ATI's presence in the desktop discrete market, where it sees potential share erosion. "In addition to ATI's recent share loss at the high end which was aggravated by supply constraints, we expect that the transition to PCI Express by add-in-board makers this summer may favor Nvidia, given feedback we have received from the Taiwan channel on better reception for Nvidia's PCI Express products. While we view ATI's diversification efforts as better than Nvidia's, we think both stocks are still mainly driven by share gains and losses in the desktop discrete market, and thus any potential share loss makes us incrementally cautious on ATI." Earnings estimates have now been reduced in light of these reasons and ATI's negative preannouncement.

Goldman lowered the fiscal third-quarter estimate to earnings of 4 cents per share on revenue of $530 million, down from earnings of 21 cents per share on revenue of $585 million. Estimates for 2005 were lowered to EPS of 75 cents on revenue of $2.352 billion, down from earnings of $1.06 per share on revenue of $2.460 billion. The 2006 estimate was lowered to EPS of 95 cents on revenue of $2.606 billion, down from earnings of $1.31 per share on revenue of $2.670 billion. However, Goldman did raise the 2007 estimate to earnings of $1.16 per share on revenue of $2.880 billion, up from earnings of $1.10 per share on revenue of $2.503 billion due to ATI's long-term growth rate and a potential boost from the Longhorn operating system from Microsoft.


The research firm said that "to become more positive on ATI we would wait for more visibility around the timing and performance of their upcoming high-end graphics processor, as the risks around its new architecture design and new process technology node (90nm) are significant."
 

Elios83

Member
Ati is surely haveing problems because R520 was supposed to arrive in early spring,now it seems it will be in store in September.
If these problems will affect also the X360 GPU we really can't know at the moment.
If they're having problems with the manufacturing process then it could affect also the X360 GPU.
 
Elios83 said:
Ati is surely haveing problems because R520 was supposed to arrive in early spring,now it seems it will be in store in September.
If these problems will affect also the X360 GPU we really can't know at the moment.
If they're having problems with the manufacturing process then it could affect also the X360 GPU.

I am thinking sometime between late September and mid November, as far as the actual in-stores timeframe.
 

Mrbob

Member
Heh, is working with MS on Xbox projects a curse for companies? I remember Nvidia having their problems and downfall around the same time tey were working on the original Xbox system. Now ATI is having problems with R520 while working on the X360 GPU as well. Some things take priority, and I wouldn't be surprised if the X360GPU has priority over the R520 at the moment. Lets not forget ATI is also working on the Revolution GPU. They may be spreading themselves too thin at the moment and I wouldn't be surprised if their PC takes a secondary focus to consoles at the moment.
 
Elios83 said:
Ati is surely haveing problems because R520 was supposed to arrive in early spring,now it seems it will be in store in September.
If these problems will affect also the X360 GPU we really can't know at the moment.If they're having problems with the manufacturing process then it could affect also the X360 GPU.
Yes we do, the X360 GPU is finished and already in production. The forbes article said "Taiwan Semiconductor's yields on 90nm have been generally good on other products including the Xbox 360 graphics chip, we believe the delay is due to a design issue."
If it's a design issue, the unified shader design of the Xbox GPU is completely different from the R520's. There is no issue here for Xenos.
 

Elios83

Member
Pseudo judo said:
Yes we do, the X360 GPU is finished and already in production. The forbes article said "Taiwan Semiconductor's yields on 90nm have been generally good on other products including the Xbox 360 graphics chip, we believe the delay is due to a design issue."
If it's a design issue, the unified shader design of the Xbox GPU is completely different from the R520's. There is no issue here for Xenos.

If it's a design issue there should be no problem with R500.
But finished and in production is a lie,less than a month ago they were still using X850 and in all the post E3 interviews Microsoft told that they'll have final hardware this summer.
 
this one from Xbitlabs

ATI Fights for Next-Gen R520 GPU Yields – Sources.
ATI’s Next-Gen Product May Not Yet Be in Production

Category: Video

by Anton Shilov

[ 06/09/2005 | 09:31 AM ]

Sources close to graphics chip designer ATI Technologies said on Thursday that the company has not yet started commercial supplies of its next-generation R520 visual processing unit and that the chip firm is in process of re-spinning the chip so that to receive maximum yields of the processor when producing it in mass quantities.

According to a source who is familiar with the plans and ongoing actions at ATI Technologies, the company is working on a re-spin that is aimed to improve yields of the product so that the company could deliver as many next-generation graphics processors as possible. The source told X-bit labs that functionality standpoint the R520 graphics processing unit is fully functional.

Re-spinning of a chip is a costly process, as every re-spin costs several millions of U.S. dollars. Still, provided that such a re-spin would improves commercial yield by a significant margin, the cost of re-spin will be compensated because of extremely high profit margin on high-end graphics processors.

ATI is reportedly playing a waiting game with NVIDIA Corp., who is expected to release its NVIDIA GeForce 7800-series graphics processors shortly. Once the benchmarks of NVIDIA’s part code-named G70 are out by independent review web-sites, ATI is expected to finalize specifications, such as clock-speeds, of its next-generation RADEON product. Still, given that the Markham, Ontario-based graphics firm is re-spinning its R520, it may not close to mass production of the product, which automatically puts the commercial release at a later date, particularly towards back-to-school season.

Because of potential R520 product delay, some analysts this week said they were cautious about ATI’s performance and concerned about possible market share loss by the company.

Interlocutors of X-bit labs also mentioned that the number of pixel pipelines reported by various web-sites may not be accurate, as internal organization of next-generation of graphics processors may depend on the type of work they perform. Furthermore, the number of pixel pipelines does not necessarily indicate performance and a lot depends on the number and efficiency of arithmetic logic units (ALUs) inside the chip as well as internal organization of caches.

ATI code-named R520 VPU is projected to support Shader Model 3.0 and other innovations, which requires a totally new graphics architecture from ATI. Still, general specifications of ATI’s code-named R520 VPU are unclear at this time. Given that a new 90nm fabrication process is to be used for the manufacturing of R520, it is unlikely that the visual processing unit will be tremendously large in terms of transistor count and complex in terms of the number of pipelines. Fabless semiconductor designers tend to balance complexity of their chips for new fabrication processes. For instance, since 2002, ATI has not launched manufacturing of high-end graphics chips using a new process technology unless the technology was tested on mainstream chips. Still, even on relatively new manufacturing processes, ATI has set pretty high clock-speeds for its VPUs in the past.

“In the short-term, which I would call the next three to twelve months, the PC roadmap is still going to be a big driver for revenue growth for the company, with products including our [R]500 series and 90nm series driving growth in the desktop, notebook and workstation markets,” said David Orton, ATI’s CEO and President in a recent interview.

ATI has already showcased its R520-based graphics cards at E3 and Computex shows.
 

gofreak

GAF's Bob Woodward
Elios83 said:
If it's a design issue there should be no problem with R500.

Of course not, they're seperate designs (well, some tech may be shared, but overall they're different).

On a seperate note, having a chip in full production doesn't conversely mean there are no problems..it's one indicator, but you can have a flawed chip in production, getting good yields.

Anyway, hopefully R520 comes out ok.
 

gofreak

GAF's Bob Woodward
Hajaz said:
it will prolly be a few months late. but its confirmed to outperform g70 easily.

Well, I'd expect a chip coming out later to outperform one coming out earlier. But I believe the only report we have on that is from The Inquirer, and their info was secondhand and without detail on clockspeed or # of pipes etc. They also didn't say "easily" :p They said "For what we know Nvidia can not mach this with G70". There may be other reports, though? IIRC, speculation on G70's 3DMark score centered around it matching it's name - the 7800 (aka a score of 7800), but subsequently that was said to be from a GTX version, not the Ultra version.

Again, I'd expect the R520 to outperform it, but I don't think it has been "confirmed" yet..

edit - when is NVidia unveiling the G70 again? Sometime this month?
 

gofreak

GAF's Bob Woodward
AB 101 said:
Funny how a more advanced design (Xenos) is going smooth while lesser tech (R520) is not.

I assume you're talking in terms of production rather than anything else (as suggested in the comments in that article).

R520 is not "lesser tech". It's quite a bit more complex in fact than Xenos.

I agree that Xenos is more of a gamble from a design POV, though. But we've little idea of how it has "turned out" yet, beyond it being easier to manufacture, apparently, but again it is less complex.
 

dorio

Banned
gofreak said:
I assume you're talking in terms of production rather than anything else (as suggested in the comments in that article).

R520 is not "lesser tech". It's quite a bit more complex in fact than Xenos.

I agree that Xenos is more of a gamble from a design POV, though. But we've little idea of how it has "turned out" yet, beyond it being easier to manufacture, apparently, but again it is less complex.
Less complex but more advanced. A unified architecture is where pc graphics card are going.
 
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