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[pramod]

Notice i say when and not if.

And the main reason i say this is because the younger generations just arent into consoles like the older ones are.

I would really like to see some demographic info on the age of people buying consoles but just from my own anecdotal experience, kids would much rather play on their phones, or even on a PC, than on the living room TV.

My own prediction is one more generation of "traditional" consoles at most. After that it will either morph into completely VR devices or just go extinct.

 

[deriks]

Never

Glad I can help

 

[Fuz]

Any minute now.

 

[Sleepwalker]

When they are not profitable anymore. Judging by sales, 3 generations maybe. Unless the next one crashes and burns badly but I can't see it. If anything people are hoarding tech more and more these days.

 

[rodrigolfp]

Hopefully, soon.

 

[mansoor1980]

never , there is a market for them

 

[Nautilus]

As all things, they will evolve and adapt.

Its something that some people don't get, as there are a stupid minority of people out there that still believe the Switch is not a "proper" console.

But yeah, won't dissapear in the foreseeable future. It will turn into hybrid consoles, or VR consoles, but they won't dissapear.

 

[feynoob]

Once cloud is popular, So not right now or 10 years.

 

[Beer Baelly]

On Judgment Day

 

[JLB]

Being optimistic there will be maybe 3 more generations. Still there will be consoles around, but they will be mostly irrelevant.

 

[cireza]

30 years later my MegaDrive doesn't show any sign of wanting to die, so never I guess.

 

[64bitmodels]

kids would much rather play on their phones, or even on a PC, than on the living room TV.

kids play on phones because they hardly have time to actually go home, relax and play on a TV, not when you're up to your neck in homework and responsiblities. That only gets worse when you become a full grown adult with a job. In the case of super young kids, they're raised by cocomelon and ipads so safe to say they like their games best on their tablets to begin with
This is easily shown by the Switch's insane success, people like to have a nice handheld on the go.

Personally i feel like console gaming will be replaced by cloud gaming soon in the future, it's sad but it is what it is, people are caring less and less about ownership with the success of streaming services and cloud movies/music. Most people have dumped MP3s for spotify and the only people buying blu rays are film/home theater enthusiasts.
Consoles will still exist just like CDs and Blu rays but they'll be for a niche market

 

[Torrent of Pork]

When you overcome the limitations of light speed by building a network of data centers no more than 50 miles apart from each other. X-Cloud works almost seamlessly for me, but I live 35 miles from the Tampa, FL Azure data hub, your mileage may vary.

TL;DR - A long-ass time in the future.

 

[64bitmodels]

30 years later my MegaDrive doesn't show any sign of wanting to die, so never I guess.

sega mega supremacy!!!!!

 

[nocsi]

Notice i say when and not if.

And the main reason i say this is because the younger generations just arent into consoles like the older ones are.

I would really like to see some demographic info on the age of people buying consoles but just from my own anecdotal experience, kids would much rather play on their phones, or even on a PC, than on the living room TV.

My own prediction is one more generation of "traditional" consoles at most. After that it will either morph into completely VR devices or just go extinct.

The younger generation use iPhones as their console. Consoles will have to adapt to be playable in a more ubiquitous way

 

[nial]

my PS4 will never die.

 

[Abriael_GN]

Never.

Notice i say when and not if.

And the main reason i say this is because the younger generations just arent into consoles like the older ones are.

I would really like to see some demographic info on the age of people buying consoles but just from my own anecdotal experience, kids would much rather play on their phones, or even on a PC, than on the living room TV.

My own prediction is one more generation of "traditional" consoles at most. After that it will either morph into completely VR devices or just go extinct.

Never.

Anecdotal experience is irrelevant.

 

[Bragr]

Once Microsoft and Sony pay to include hard drives on TVs and all TVs have a native Xbox, Steam, and Playstation apps.

 

[TLZ]

When consoles become apps on TVs, tablets and phones.

I do not wish for this day, but it's inevitable the way things are going.

 

[nocsi]

Once Microsoft and Sony pay to include hard drives on TVs and all TVs have a native Xbox, Steam, and Playstation apps.

It’s 2023 soon, you think they’re battling for your living room? The next consoles and battleground are actually EVs. Here are Sony and nintendos

 

[Deputy Moonman]

Stop trying to make console extinction happen!

 

[OmegaSupreme]

We'll be underwater before any such thing happens.

 

[balls of snow]

Tales from my ass.

 

[Neff]

Physical games may possibly vanish in our lifetime. Consoles won't.

 

[UnNamed]

Despite the cloud gaming, I don't think consoles will die, like cinema, or music in vinil/cd, it will be a niche market but it will not disappear entirely.

 

[gothmog]

I personally think PCs will die before consoles.

 

[Reizo Ryuu]

Networking would have to become orders of magnitude better for cloud to supplant dedicated hardware; that being said, all-in-one devices that don't need an extra box to run the software? maybe 30 years.
Though said extra box will always have the better performance.

 

[nkarafo]

When streaming becomes the standard because all you guys will eat it up.

 

[Warablo]

I'd say 20 years or so

I personally think PCs will die before consoles.

This makes no sense, what are people going to work on, their consoles?

 

[I Master l]

People are getting poorer and the hardware are getting more expensive every generation because Moore's law is dead, next gen
we will see 700-800$ consoles and after that its will be be only very expensive PCs "like 2000$ for 4070 tier GPU" and streaming

 

[01011001]

When streaming becomes the standard because all you guys will eat it up.

it will never become the standard as it will always be shit.
and as local hardware gets more and more powerful while getting smaller and cheaper

 

[TGO]

I have 4 lads I work with that 18-19 and they all have consoles.
Never seen them on or heard talk about mobile games.
That seemed to have been more popular 8 years ago with the teenage generation then when mobile games was taking off.
Not so much now.

 

[OceanGaming]

What do you mean when you say "consoles"?
Consoles as in specialized devices to play games, both hardware and software, are dead aside from maybe switch. But locked down PCs called "consoles" that we have today, those will not go away.

 

[Mercador]

I think at some point, Xcloud or Streaming gaming platforms will become more mainstream. You'll just need an app from your phone / tv and a controller. Stadia was a good idea but charging for games that you don't own wasn't the best idea. I think Gamepass is more the way to go. I'm not sure it needs more than 4k@120hz so around 50mb data stream.

 

[ReBurn]

They'll always live in our hearts

 

[64bitmodels]

it will never become the standard as it will always be shit.

the general public loves shitty things. They'll take streaming over local even with all the input lag and lack of ownership.

 

[ChorizoPicozo]

This shit still exists and it's thriving

In the future I see consoles being even more expensive and luxurious because they are going to be for enthusiasts. A SENSORIAL INTERACTIVE EXPERIENCE.

 

[FeldMonster]

Hopefully never.

If gaming becomes exclusive to cellphones and PCs, I guess my days of gaming will be over.

 

[Lasha]

Probably one or two more generations before consoles become simplified PC. They are basically weak PC since last generation.

 

[rodrigolfp]

I personally think PCs will die before consoles.

Sure. People will make games and get hardware for consoles on phones.

 

[gothmog]

I'd say 20 years or so


This makes no sense, what are people going to work on, their consoles?

It will be like classic cars where people who give a shit will continue to work on them. The vast majority who are fine gaming on their mobile devices will end up driving consumption towards all in one systems like consoles and streaming options.

 

[reinking]

There will always be some type of "console" because it keeps customers tied to an ecosystem and companies make a large chunk of their money from that closed ecosystem. This is the new "PC gaming is dead."

 

[The_Mike]

When the last warrior dies.

 

[gothmog]

Sure. People will make games and get hardware for consoles on phones.

I basically have my steam deck driving a screen, keyboard, and mouse. They get the power levels right I may never buy another PC. Especially after all the price gouging going on the past few years during the crypto boom.

 

[Draugoth]

10-20 years maybe

When quantum computing becomes widely available - then it will surely die.

 

[Chastten]

Consoles are currently breaking all records so at least 3 more generations is my bet.

 

[Dynasty8]

You're funny OP. I like you...but you're funny.

 

[rodrigolfp]

I basically have my steam deck driving a screen, keyboard, and mouse. They get the power levels right I may never buy another PC. Especially after all the price gouging going on the past few years during the crypto boom.

Steam Deck is a PC and I bet no one prefers using Maya and ZBrush on it vs a powerfull desktop.

 

[bender]

Three years after PCs go extinct.

 

[gothmog]

Steam Deck is a PC and I bet no one prefers using Maya and ZBrush on it vs a powerfull desktop.

Steam deck is much closer to a console than a PC. I mean all you can upgrade is the drive pretty much, right?

As far as powerful desktops most of the firms I work with have offloaded their heaviest lifting to cloud based hardware. You still have some high memory local machines but it's becoming less and less.

There's always going to be a need for powerful local rendering, memory, or storage just for things that aren't easy to put in the cloud like heavy IO and low latency workloads. But I don't think that's going to stop PCs from becoming a specialty item.