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Wkd BO 06•30-07•02•17 - Audiences want the D3, don't put Baby in corner but 2nd,

xaosslug

Member
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tomatometer:
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63% Despicable Me 3
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97% Baby Driver
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15% Transformers: The Last Knight
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92% Wonder Woman
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67% Cars 3
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16% The House

metacritic:
*click pic(s) for source*

‘Despicable Me 3' Rules, ‘Baby Driver' Shows Strong, Will Ferrell's ‘House' Collapses

The tiny, yellow, animated blobs have done it again.

Illumination and Universal's ”Despicable Me 3" is cruising to an easy box office win during a busy holiday weekend. The latest in the franchise is opening to $75.4 million from 4,529 locations — the widest domestic release ever. That total is lower than earlier estimates, which pegged the film above $80 million (earlier tracking suggested it could land even higher), but nevertheless it remains the weekend's big winner.

Steve Carell plays double duty in ”Despicable Me 3" as the series' protagonist Gru, and now also his twin brother, Dru. The plot centers on the brothers, as they team up for a criminal heist. ”South Park" co-creator Trey Parker joins the franchise to voice the villain. Critics are generally on the movie's side, earning it a 62% on Rotten Tomatoes. The movie earned an A- CinemaScore from audiences, which is lower than the A earned by the first two installments and ”Minions."

Despite ”Despicable's" rule, perhaps the more interesting stories for the industry reside further down the box office chart.

Starting with ”Baby Driver," from Sony's TriStar Pictures, MRC, and Working Title. Edgar Wright's latest also appears to be his biggest box office hit, as it's cruising to $30 million from 3,226 locations — that's including the $5.7 million head start the movie got by opening early in previews on Tuesday.

The movie centers around a character named Baby (Ansel Elgort), who becomes the getaway driver for a kingpin named Doc (Kevin Spacey). Music plays an integral role in the film since Baby suffered a traumatic experience as a child that left him with tinnitus, which he blocks out with music. The rest of the cast includes Lily James, Jon Bernthal, Eiza González, Jon Hamm, and Jamie Foxx.

”Edgar and our partners at MRC and Working Title have made one of the most original and entertaining films in recent memory, and we're so thrilled to see it received as a bonafide hit in a crowded summer season," said Sony's distribution chief Adrian Smith.

”Baby Driver," like ”Get Out" earlier this year and ”The Big Sick," currently showing strong in limited release, is the kind of project that gets Hollywood excited about the chance for original ideas to also be financially viable. Wright's film picked up buzz when it won the Audience Award and positive early reviews at the SXSW Film Festival. The movie's marketing capitalized on its colorful aesthetic and emphasis on music.

Amy Poehler and Will Ferrell's ”The House," meanwhile, is having trouble attracting visitors. The R-rated comedy from New Line, Warner Bros., and Village Roadshow is opening to $9 million from 3,134 locations.

”The House" is the story of a husband (Ferrell) and wife (Poehler) who start an underground casino to help raise money for their daughter's college fund. Andrew Jay Cohen directed from a script that he wrote with Brendan O'Brien — the two previously collaborated on the ”Neighbors" movies.

For the weekend's top five, Paramount's ”Transformers: The Last Knight" should land in third with $17 million during its second weekend. ”Wonder Woman" continues to be a force for Warner Bros., and is on its way to $15.6 million domestically during its fifth weekend. The movie has crossed $700 million worldwide and passed ”Suicide Squad" and ”Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice" at the domestic box office. And Disney and Pixar's ”Cars 3" should take the five slot during its third week with $9.5 million domestically.

After a strong start to 2017, a rather slow summer box office overall has brought the year-to-date box office numbers down to about even with last year.

”A weak May followed by a June that failed to become the savior of the summer now puts July in the hot seat to deliver the goods and get us out of the summer season doldrums," said Paul Dergarabedian, senior media analyst at ComScore.

Outside of the major release circuit, the arthouse appears to have some juice for the first time this summer with strong numbers from ”The Little Hours," ”The Beguiled," and ”The Big Sick."

Gunpowder and Sky's first theatrical release, ”Little Hours" posted the highest per screen average from two locations this weekend. The nun-centric religious satire starring Alison Brie and Aubrey Plaza should open to $61,560. Meanwhile, Sofia Coppola's ”Beguiled" expects to crack the top ten in limited release, after expanding to 674 locations. The Focus Features release should make an estimated $3.3 million over the three-day weekend. And Kumail Nanjiani's semi-autobiographical romantic comedy ”Big Sick" expanded to 71 locations, posting a three-day total of $1.67 million. Lionsgate and Amazon Studios are planning to push the film to wide release on July 14.

More to come...


*click pic for full list/source*


*click pic for full list/source*
 

kswiston

Member
Worldwide Updates

Pirates 5 - $709M
Wonder Woman - $708M
Transformers 5 - $430M
Beauty and the Beast - $1260M
 

Grizzlyjin

Supersonic, idiotic, disconnecting, not respecting, who would really ever wanna go and top that
An Edgar Wright movie outperformed a lazy Will Ferrell project. You know, maybe things are gonna be okay.
 
Worldwide Updates

Transformers 5 - $430M
Brutal. There's a few noteworthy countries left for TF5 to open in, but if it falls 50% from 4 in them as well, then it isn't looking at much more than $600M WW.

edit: Wonder Woman's BOM number is about $500k than everyone else's, but the Sunday hold on BOM is reasonable given the holidays this week.
 

Slayven

Member
Well, the common thread that they've had is that they're all seemingly bad comedies, but yeah, this is one bad crop they've had to work with, so the results are not terribly surprising.
Have audiences gotten more sophisticated?

Nope. Watch Girls Trip be the one that does decent. (like I've been predicting) LOL
Thats what i been saying
The Promise easily wins. $8M domestic on a $90M budget.

Runners up include King Arthur and Ghost in the Shell.
The Promise fucked up by releasing the wrong time of the year. That was totally a winter type movie
 
30 million already for Baby Driver? Hey, that seems all right.
I was not aware The House was a thing until I saw a Will Ferrell interview pop up in my youtube suggestions yesterday.
 

kswiston

Member
Brutal. There's a few noteworthy countries left for TF5 to open in, but if it falls 50% from 4 in them as well, then it isn't looking at much more than $600M WW.

edit: Wonder Woman's BOM number is about $400k than everyone else's, but the Sunday hold on BOM is reasonable given the holidays this week.

I think that Mojo just messed up, even if the actual ends up being closer to that. They still need to report studio estimates :p
 
Along with Rough Night.

What a weekend. Despicable Me 3 coming in below expectations and Baby Driver beating them. Great news.

And here I am, wishing Baby Driver actually had good expectations. 21M doesn't seem like much for how good the film is.

I'm left wondering how many people won't see the film for the title alone.
 
Also, has Mojo ever just flat forgotten two movies in the weekend top 10? That seems like a ridiculous oversight. Your whole job is to report on what movies made money over the weekend and you just forget two of 'em? One of which actually had the best weekend-to-weekend hold in the top 10?

We gotta get K-Swiss in there.

Also, assuming that Transformers doesn't even get to 600mil worldwide (which I think is very possible) is Paramount ultimately losing money on this flick, and if they are, how much?
 

kunonabi

Member
So that's the premise of The House. I really couldn't tell from the marketing. Might have made for a really funny movie with better talent involved.
 

kswiston

Member
I wonder if Guardians took some of the comedy business this summer, since the pure comedies were all poorly received. Usually one breaks out even with rotten reviews.
 
Jesus, watching just how high Wonder Woman can go has been fascinating. Is $400m actually in play? If it is, she would join a very exclusive club of solo superheros with Batman, Spider-Man, and Iron Man.

Good for Edgar Wright for having a good, solid hit.

Transformers pretty much a lock to finish below the first movie ($709m) at this point, right?
 
I wonder if Guardians took some of the comedy business this summer, since the pure comedies were all poorly received. Usually one breaks out even with rotten reviews.

I think it's just that the comedies being turned out look like unimaginative repetitive bullshit. None of them look appealing at all. Not even on an LCD level.
 

kswiston

Member
Yes $400M is in play. This is the most unexpected superhero run since Spider-Man 1.

Edit: I guess the first Guardians is up there as well.
 

Grizzlyjin

Supersonic, idiotic, disconnecting, not respecting, who would really ever wanna go and top that
The year has not been kind to comedies. Damn

It really hasn't. Maybe they'll stop trying to film scripts that were written on 1 cocktail napkin, thinking they can improv their way to an acceptable runtime.

Although, I'm curious to see how Girls Trip, Daddy's Home 2, and A Bad Mom's Christmas perform.
 
goddammit, I keep forgetting these threads switch on sunday. Other 'serial' threads tend to have a 'next thread' post, why does BO gaf not do that?

also, considering I bet Despicable Me 3 as having a 300m domestic, isn't 75 a low opening to get there? obviously it's higher than most, but I think this would mean 250-ish, not the 300 I guessed. I just wanted to be right on one thing, one damn thing. :')
 

Ridley327

Member
I think it's just that the comedies being turned out look like unimaginative repetitive bullshit. None of them look appealing at all. Not even on an LCD level.

Yeah, they've all looked really bad. Even the audiences that they're targeted at can tell the difference.
 
Yeah this is certainly the Summer of the comedy bombs. To be fair they've basically all been bad movies but still I'm surprised pretty much none of them took off even a little bit.

It's going to he very interesting the next couple weeks to see if Diana can pass Guardians 2. Either way they should both finish really close to each other.
 

Toothless

Member
And here I am, wishing Baby Driver actually had good expectations. 21M doesn't seem like much for how good the film is.

I'm left wondering how many people won't see the film for the title alone.

Expectations should've always been around where The Nice Guys fell, and Baby Driver is literally a day or two away from beating TNG's domestic total.
 

7Th

Member
Seems like RT score is becoming more and more influential regarding BO; Homecoming is crossing the billion for sure.
 

kswiston

Member
Also, assuming that Transformers doesn't even get to 600mil worldwide (which I think is very possible) is Paramount ultimately losing money on this flick, and if they are, how much?

China overpaid for a distribution deal, and the films always have a ton of product placement, so I doubt they are losing money.
 

black070

Member
Watched The House yesterday after getting stoned with friends, would recommened if you're a fan of Will Ferrell's work.
 
DM3 is also performing much more closely to 2 than Minions overseas, so it does look like it will gross around the same $850M WW as Guardians 2.*


*Assuming crazy shit doesn't happen in China for DM3.
 
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