• Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.

Spain shatters two-party rule, Europe watches as it turns into an ungovernable mess

Status
Not open for further replies.
They have proportional representation and a parliamentary system, completely different from what we have in the US.

Which is totally besides my point. Republicans and Democrats need to work together in the US. Now that seems to work more or less (unless Obama only uses executive orders), so why would two parties not manage to work together in Spain?
 
Which is totally besides my point. Republicans and Democrats need to work together in the US. Now that seems to work more or less (unless Obama only uses executive orders), so why would two parties not manage to work together in Spain?

It's not as easy as it sounds. The US system was specifically designed with the idea that there needs to be some form of bipartisan cooperation to get things done. Most European representative democracies / parliamentary systems aren't. And you also can't expect politicians / parties to change their ways overnight.
 

Cerium

Member
Which is totally besides my point. Republicans and Democrats need to work together in the US. Now that seems to work more or less (unless Obama only uses executive orders), so why would two parties not manage to work together in Spain?

In Spain they would need to enter into a formal coalition to elect the Prime Minister, which in turn means giving the minority party cabinet posts and other goodies. In the United States the President is elected separately and controls the executive branch completely. Republicans and Democrats are never formally required to enter any sort of alliance. Negotiations are done on a case by case basis. And even then sometimes the radical wing of the Republican party can sabotage basic spending bills and cause a temporary government shutdown.
 

Funky Papa

FUNK-Y-PPA-4
Thanks for all of the information. I'm glad Podemos is more of a standard left-wing party now rather than Syriza++.
The funny thing is, back in the day Podemos was pretty damn similar to Syriza. They did have two huge advantages working on their favour, however:

1) Syriza fell prey to an extreme, basically unsalvageable situation and the desires of many EU member states who didn't want Greece's new government to succeed. Rajoy himself threw Spain's weight against Greece so an eventual collapse of Syriza could abort Podemos by proxy before the elections. It didn't quite work, but he tried his best.

2) Podemos had plenty of time and a more stable environment to weed out the battier elements and mature their initial positions. Some fringe people remain, but the party itself is a lot healthier for it, if highly personalistic. Only God knows about their potential performance as a ruling party, though. Madrid and Barcelona's majors Carmena and Colau have been doing ok so far, but none of them are Podemos proper and they are limited to their roles.

By the way, it's just my imagination or the situation seems like the catalonian mess?

I mean, a president no one wants (in the other parties) of the most voted party and no solution in the horizon, it's like the groundhog day on the spanish polytics.
That's actually a terrific simile!

S. If that worked and still works, Spain will be fine.

I wish you luck Funky Papa on the rocky road ahead.

Back here in the United States we are watching a similar "dumpster fire" (I love that phrase) within a political party.
Don't worry, we'll be fine. As Bismarck said, "I am firmly convinced that Spain is the strongest country of the world. Century after century trying to destroy herself and still no success".

Is your media a steaming pile of shit, where the renewed attention by the population will go wasted, or could perhaps there be a silver lining?

Edit; Also do you elect politicians based on looks?

It's absolute shit. State owned TVE is basically a propaganda station and private ones are either controlled by corporate interests with their own political allegiances or just going after the viewers with the cheapest ploys, no matter how detrimental they are to the political discourse (la Sexta). The way they propped Ciudadanos as PP's replacement was *insane*, but not as much as how terribly off they were when the polls closed.

Also, I don't think looks play a significant part, although I believe the PSOE tried that card (with much scorn from Sanchez's critics). I was being farcical.

In Spain they would need to enter into a formal coalition to elect the Prime Minister, which in turn means giving the minority party cabinet posts and other goodies. In the United States the President is elected separately and controls the executive branch completely. Republicans and Democrats are never formally required to enter any sort of alliance. Negotiations are done on a case by case basis. And even then sometimes the radical wing of the Republican party can sabotage basic spending bills and cause a temporary government shutdown.
Actually, it could be easier than the bolded. Ciudadanos is already asking the PSOE not to vote against the PP. Sitting this one out could allow conservatives to pick a president without PSOE and C's actively supporting the PP per se, although the PSOE has already said that they won't support Rajoy.

If PSOE and Ciudadanos absented their votes at the Congress, the PP could pick a new president without enough opposition to prevent their naming while allowing both parties to save face by claiming that they didn't want another PP president, but they refrained from voting against them because the country needs a proper government.

This, however, means that the PP will have to sacrify Rajoy and find a new candidate (Soraya Sáenz de Santa María sounds like the most plausible candidate for the task). Explaining to part of the electorate that the candidate of the most voted political party is not going to be the president after all could be troublesome, as seen in Madrid.

There's also the fact that a huge part of the PSOE's voting base hates the PP's guts, so even an absent vote could be seen as high treason. Spanish politics are highly polarised and saying "we did this for the good of the country" won't fly that easily, so the PSOE will need the deploy contingency measures to avoid further voter flight towards C's and Podemos. Then, it should also be mentioned that Sánchez brought the PSOE to their lowest result in history and is openly despised by much of the old guard, so his head could also roll along Rajoy's.

This could be fixed in a few days or a couple of months. Either way, it's pretty much a certainty that none of the candidates of the two largest political parties will be named president. Rajoy is toxic and Sánchez doesn't have the numbers. Going by previous events, chances are that Sánchez himself will be popped like a bad zit as soon as one of his rivals (probably Susana Díaz, maybe Carme Chacón) gathers enough support within the PSOE.
 
Same just happened in Portugal in October

the Center-Right and Right coalition where unable to win a majority and got awarded a minority.

All the other parties to the Left banded together Socialists (Center-Left), Left Block (far left), Commies (far left) to make a Left Coalition

*the Socialists in Portugal of today are just vanilla establishment like many of Europe's standard establishment Socialist parties. But the Left Block and the Commies are hardlined Lefto nut jobs.

It's not a traditional coalition. Socialists are governing the country. In the parliament they need to find solutions with the left block and communist party. Much better than what has happen until here when only 1 party ruled the country however the fuck they wanted.

As for the nut jobs,....

Spain, seems like a fucked up solution because, contrary to Portugal they dont have a clear strong opposition force that can lead the other opposition parties.
 
Thats why I said Chavez, not Maduro. And the single study you refer to back that number is faulty at best. And well, the UN and their HDI thinks otherwise. I doubt Venezuela would get a higher HDI number than Brazil or Mexico if 73% of its population was in poverty.

Chavez's policies are what put Venezuela on the path to what Maduro is dealing with right now. Maduro is only continuing Chavez's policies basically.
 

patapuf

Member
That's a fantastic OP and insight into spanish politics.

I'm sure spain will be fine in the end, cleaning house is never painless when it comes to established political classes, even when it's done democratically.
 

Funky Papa

FUNK-Y-PPA-4
In other news, Podemos' electoral oomph allowed them to appoint Spain's first black MP.

kSntxJ1.jpg
Meet Rita Bosaho.

Expect some fuckery and the according NeoGAF "Spain is so racist" threads.
 

G.ZZZ

Member
I mean, Belgium managed to scramble together seemingly working governments that haven't imploded yet after that long messy period of fuckery, so this might not be as hopeless as you make it seem. Multi-party coalition from various ends of the spectrum aren't always a bad thing.

Mind you I'm not very familiar with Spanish politics :/

You're talking like a northern european. Southern europe is another matter. Italy changed governement as often as trump say something stupid. If that is the reason for a lot of our structural problems, or if our structural probelms are a reason for that, i don't know.
 

Acidote

Member
As a Spaniard I think this situation was both needed, expected and will be good for the people and the health of democracy here. PP and PSOE are just too corrupt in the higher tiers of their organizations. So much some of them should've been tried for treason.

And to who was asking: Yes, I believe there's a lot of ignorant people around here voting based on looks. Pdr Snchz paraded through the worst, mind-numbing tv shows just to show his face to their less educated audience.
 

Mael

Member
Which is totally besides my point. Republicans and Democrats need to work together in the US. Now that seems to work more or less (unless Obama only uses executive orders), so why would two parties not manage to work together in Spain?

You're missing the point, it's not having to make 2 parties that hate each other guts that is hard.
It's doing that with 5 parties that hate each other guts.
The US situation is generally simpler as you can reliably know that a Republican will follow other Republicans or something.
Split Democrats and republicans in 2 or more parties and each parties would rather be willing launched into the Sun rather than cooperate with any of the other parties and you are closer to Spain right now.

In other news, Podemos' electoral oomph allowed them to appoint Spain's first black MP.


Meet Rita Bosaho.

Expect some fuckery and the according NeoGAF "Spain is so racist" threads.

39108-one-sunglass-mother-of-god-6dZY.gif
 

Acidote

Member
And to add context to the situation: In Spain if a congressists votes for something against the dictates of his party's head, he's pretty much labeled a traitor, expelled from the party and ostracized forever. So there's no real freedom of vote for them.
 

Tugatrix

Member
Well Spain your parties got to learn how to talk like we did in portugal, the left united to get rid of the neo-cons. Now we turn a rock and found the dirt, false budget claims, a broke bank (the tax payer lost 2 billion), we wonder what we will find next
 

appaws

Banned
Great Op! Gracias. I learned a lot.

What a handsome bunch of candidates! Are all Spaniards so good looking?
 

Slayven

Member
Love a good Funky papa post, a thread is like a fine wine.

When i rule the world I shall give him control of Spain and Belgium.
 

Ogodei

Member
The Portuguese managed to pull a grand left coalition.

I would think Ciudadanos would sit down with PP in a heartbeat... if that would get them to a majority. But it wouldn't.
 
Amazing OP. Always love reading about the political climate of other countries. As much of a clusterfuck as that situation sounds, i am envious that at least voters have so many options. Here in the states we have more independants then we do members of either of our two parties, and i think a huge part of that is that most people feel disinfranchised and don't really have a party that accuratly captures their world view due to our idiotic 2 party system. My biggest take away from this thread however is that you need to be a male model in order to run a political party in Spain.
 

Dryk

Member
Coalitions are super common in Spain, but this time the rules are different. PSOE+PP would mean political suicide for one (or both) of the parties, and you just can't mathematically put together a leftist front capable of ruling the country
Anything that encourages partisan hacks to learn how to compromise is probably better for democracy in the long run.
 

Condom

Member
I'm happy for Podemos. I know some peeps from there and they're cool people. They might have weird quirks like any leftist party might have but no party is perfect.
 

Dascu

Member
Good thread. Interested to see how things will evolve. I was discussing it with a Spanish friend earlier, and his views align on that any kind of coalition is going to be impossible as everyone hates each other. Fun times.
 
Great thread Funky Papa, very informative!

I think something that a lot of people are missing, maybe, is that coalitions really only "work" when all the parties know, going in, that there'll be a coalition. They can then be open about what's negotiable, what isn't, where they might give ground etc. It's hard to do that and campaign for a majority, and then hard to row back on that campaign if you find yourself in a position where you're forced to compromise. It worked in the UK for 5 years because one of the parties was overwhelmingly dominant and there actually was quite a bit of common ground between the two.
 
There's some truth to that. Podemos' founders worked as advisors for Venezuela, IIRC mostly dealing with some social reform aspects of his rule. At some initial point, the party was RAH-RAH-RAH Chavez mad, but they learned to STFU about it when they realize that would bring them nowhere. Monedero in particular is still crazier than a bag of wet cats, although he has become a bit of a mascot these days.

With that said, Podemos has changed a lot in record time. Just as the party swole, more people with a range of different opinions filled the ranks, meaning that crazy levels were eveneed. Also, the most ardent anticapitalist elements left the party after Iglesias decided to take a turn towards moderate positions. It also helps that most of their initial beliefs were straight up infeasible and they needed to present a proper, actuable platform for the elections. Still, they have more skeletons than a Cambodian killing field.

EG: Podemos was furiously anti-NATO at first, but calmed down at record speed and enlisted a highly decorated former Chief of the Defence Staff as potential Defence Minister when they realised that they just can't break away. Their current platform calls for a strong European army in order to reduce Spain and Europe's reliance on NATO while respecting the current agreements until an exit strategy is found..
Great writeup. So the guy I know wasn't far off, at least for a time. I am curious to hear more about these other "skeleton's in the closest" though.

Thats why I said Chavez, not Maduro. And the single study you refer to back that number is faulty at best. And well, the UN and their HDI thinks otherwise. I doubt Venezuela would get a higher HDI number than Brazil or Mexico if 73% of its population was in poverty.

I wouldn't take anything VenezuelaAnalysis says seriously. It is propoganda arm led by Chavez cronies. And these things happened before Maduro was in power. I HIGHLY recommend talking to people actually from Venezuela. There is a reason why MUD got a super majority in Congress a few weeks ago. You can scream and point to HDI, but just like GDP, HDI hardly tells the whole story. Yes there are some example of hate toward a leftist leader coming from middle class crybabies (e.g. Thailand), but Venezuela is not one of them.
 

Chao

Member
I swear you won't find a better explanation of what's going on in Spain right now.

Not even in Spanish media.

Thank you Funky Papa!
 

Error

Jealous of the Glory that is Johnny Depp
It's pretty obvious Podemos took a lot of left wing voters from PSOE. To me this means PSOE either embraces the left fully or it'll continue a downward spiral into irrelevancy.
 

trembli0s

Member
Great post.

My mom is originally from Madrid and I still have a lot of family living there. I haven't been able to go as much as I used to while I was young but my impression of reading the news has always been that the politicians have been shit, regardless of party.

I remember the running joke when Benedict resigned from the Papacy was that the next Pope should be a Spaniard because they would never have to worry about him stepping down.
 
The Portuguese managed to pull a grand left coalition.

I would think Ciudadanos would sit down with PP in a heartbeat... if that would get them to a majority. But it wouldn't.

Given what funky said (and the articles the guardian is running), it seems that the only reason they haven't yet is precisely because it wouldn't. Why bother when all you'll get is the risk of being seen as tainted by the old guard?
 

appaws

Banned
So is there a party like Front Nationale in Spain? Are there still Franco-ists who are politically active?
 
I disagree, because coalitions think "short term"

a strong majority government does decision "long term" some times you got get the ball moving forwards

my opinions is not about Right vs Left. It's about getting things done.

Coalition governments do lots of pandering, and toss short term candy around thinking it solves anything

A single party can get things done. That's true. But sometimes it's things that should not have been done and when the other single party gets in power it quickly undo them if it can.

In engineering, that's described as the damping ratio. An underdamped system takes a long time to achieve stability, but an overdamped system oscillates back and forth and fares no better.

Hopefully everything works out.

I'd be more worried about Catalonia.
 

KNT-Zero

Member
Awesome work, Funky Papa!
Im a spaniard myself and I find it baffling how this situation has come to be.
I live and work in the UK and as time passes I fear that I'm gonna have to stay there because the situation is so dire in my homeland.
UK citizenship, here we go...
 
All the spaniards supporting Podemos should be send to Venezuela to live three months there with the regular income of a venezuelan worker, and then ask themselves: do I want Spain to become this?
 
All the spaniards supporting Podemos should be send to Venezuela to live three months there with the regular income of a venezuelan worker, and then ask themselves: do I want Spain to become this?
That makes as much sense as saying that the ones opposing Podemos should be sent to Greece to have a gander.
 

Africanus

Member
My somewhat knowledge of Spanish politics improved.
What an utterly wretched situation. I never knew of Podemos rapid change.
Good post Funky Papa, and I will now keep my eye on this as it develops.

Cuando España se colapsa, yo reclamará las Islas Canarias.
 

cebri.one

Member
Great OT.

My bet, new elections in march. Podemos and PP get better results and PSOE and specially Ciudadanos get crunched. PSOE forced to support Podemos and it will all depend on how many seats PP gets.
 

Melon Husk

Member
They have to compromise and work together or perish, which is great.

US should take note and make shit happen, but I guess it takes a fucked up economy to rouse the people.
 
All the spaniards supporting Podemos should be send to Venezuela to live three months there with the regular income of a venezuelan worker, and then ask themselves: do I want Spain to become this?

Have you even been reading the thread? Podemos and the PSUV's similarities and differences were already covered.
 

Vagabundo

Member
Ireland has had coalitions as far as I can remember and they have always formed a government - again as far as I can remember.

There will be a period of readjustment as everyone get used to the new landscape, but if it is one thing politicians want its to rule and they'd sacrifice the newborns to do it.

Our current government is a centre-left and centre-right parties and they did pretty good.
 

Hydrargyrus

Member
Spain deserves better politicians.

If they can't get to an agreement, they just can get the hell out of here.
Our constitution was made for 9 guys from a more diverse parties. If these 4 (5) candidate can't be moved from its initial positions, we should get others.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top Bottom