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[KuwabaraTheMan]

Can Super Street Fighter IV 3D really be expected to sell within 30% of what the PS3 version sold in 2010? (153,924)

Well, it's tough to say, but it's a visually impressive launch game, and one of the more recognizable names out at launch (behind Nintendogs and Layton). I think that should really bolster its sales.

 

[BishopLamont]

It can, definitely. The game itself is a showcase of the 3DS possibilties. Scale the exceptations down given the fact that it is a remake and what you get is a decent (if not good) seller. If people lack motivation in purchasing a 3DS, then high sales may be tough to reach (for all software invovled) but if 3DS pre-orders are any indication, the hardware is set to explode at launch, and thus, push the entire line-up as a whole.

I personally expect it to be number #4 at launch. #3 would be extremely positive.

What makes me worry though, would be an extremely favourable response to first-party software as opposed to third-party offerings. That would be the first sign that Nintendo didn't succeed in changing the public's perceptions. I fear that.

The only way for that to happen is if third parties keep offering good games, it ain't going to happen on launch or overnight.

 

[Kenka]

The only way for that to happen is if third parties keep offering good games, it ain't going to happen on launch or overnight.

True, but in their mind, launch window successes may very well be equal to further support. I just hope that Nintendo's main problem (aka the lack of interest of the hardcore for its plateforms) is now a past nightmare.

Since I usually don't play Sony exclusives, I'd like to purchase only one console this forthcoming gen. Having everything under one hat would be great.

 

[neutralgamer02]

[3DS] Hardware (Nintendo) - 377,000
[3DS] Nintendogs + Cats (Nintendo) - 132,000
[3DS] Professor Layton and the Mask of Miracle (Level 5) - 125,000
[3DS] Super Street Fighter IV: 3D Edition (Capcom) - 70,000
[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles (Koei Tecmo) - 65,000
[3DS] Ridge Racer 3D (Bandai Namco) - 45,000
[3DS] Winning Eleven 3DSoccer (Konami) - 40,000
[NDS] Yu-Gi-Oh! 5D’s World Championship 2011 (Konami) - 35,000
[PSP] Phantasy Star Portable 2: Infinity (Sega) - 245,000
[PSP] Harukanaru Toki no Naka de 5 (Koei Tecmo) - 90,000
[PSP] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 140,000
[WII] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 30,000
[WII] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 35,000
[PS3] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 50,000
[PS3] Disgaea 4 (Nippon Ichi Software) - 100,000
[PS3] Killzone 3 (SCE) - 15,000
[360] The Idolmaster 2 (Bandai Namco) - 15,000

 

[BishopLamont]

True, but in their mind, launch window successes may very well be equal to further support. I just hope that Nintendo's main problem (aka the lack of interest of the hardcore for its plateforms) is now a past nightmare.

Since I usually don't play Sony exclusives, I'd like to purchase only one console this forthcoming gen. Having everything under one hat would be great.

The Wii and DS have proved a great deal, we'll see whether third parties have learned their lesson. I also want a "PS2" ecosystem, it makes it easier for everyone, consumers and developers alike.

 

[lunchwithyuzo]

Predictions

[3DS] Hardware (Nintendo) - 489,123
[3DS] Nintendogs + Cats (Nintendo) - 132,345
[3DS] Professor Layton and the Mask of Miracle (Level 5) - 166,789
[3DS] Super Street Fighter IV: 3D Edition (Capcom) - 41,145
[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles (Koei Tecmo) - 37,890
[3DS] Ridge Racer 3D (Bandai Namco) - 29,876
[3DS] Winning Eleven 3DSoccer (Konami) - 19,789
[NDS] Yu-Gi-Oh! 5D’s World Championship 2011 (Konami) - 24,567
[PSP] Phantasy Star Portable 2: Infinity (Sega) - 212,343
[PSP] Harukanaru Toki no Naka de 5 (Koei Tecmo) - 7,890
[PSP] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 189,012
[WII] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 19,812
[WII] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 9,456
[PS3] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 18,228
[PS3] Disgaea 4 (Nippon Ichi Software) - 69,012
[PS3] Killzone 3 (SCE) - 25,678
[360] The Idolmaster 2 (Bandai Namco) - 27,890

 

[Chris1964]

Estimates from azalyn.

[PS3] Catherine (Atlus Co.) {2011.02.17} - 140.000
[PS3] Marvel Vs. Capcom 3: Fate of Two Worlds (Capcom) {2011.02.17} - 80.000

 

[FINALFANTASYDOG]

Estimates from azalyn.

[PS3] Catherine (Atlus Co.) {2011.02.17} - 140.000

If this is true Besides Persona 4, best numbers for an Atlus game since 2003(Nocturne), add in the 15k or so for x-box 360 and things look even better. What a nice stepping stone for persona 5

Also:

http://www.mcvuk.com/news/43142/Deathsmiles-nears-100000-sales

The Xbox 360 version of cult arcade shooter Deathsmiles is approaching 100,000 sales in Japan and the US.

Edit:
3rdly,

I'm seeing this all over Japanese blogs, but no explanation of why:

Can someone please explain to me why if I had invested 3000 dollars in Nihon Ichi a week ago, I would now have 13,000 dollars.

Making games that are made to sell in Japan does still work!

 

[FINALFANTASYDOG]

DOUBLE POST, sorry delete this mods

 

[Road]

Prediction League (Feb 21 - Feb 27)

[3DS] Hardware (Nintendo) - 399,999
[3DS] Nintendogs + Cats (Nintendo) - 44,444
[3DS] Professor Layton and the Mask of Miracle (Level 5) - 188,888
[3DS] Super Street Fighter IV: 3D Edition (Capcom) - 44,444
[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles (Koei Tecmo) - 44,444
[3DS] Ridge Racer 3D (Bandai Namco) - 44,4444
[3DS] Winning Eleven 3DSoccer (Konami) - 44,4444
[NDS] Yu-Gi-Oh! 5D’s World Championship 2011 (Konami) -
[PSP] Phantasy Star Portable 2: Infinity (Sega) - 222,222
[PSP] Harukanaru Toki no Naka de 5 (Koei Tecmo) -
[PSP] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 133,333
[WII] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 33,333
[WII] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 11,111
[PS3] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 33,333
[PS3] Disgaea 4 (Nippon Ichi Software) - 88,888
[PS3] Killzone 3 (SCE) - 44,444
[360] The Idolmaster 2 (Bandai Namco) - 33,333


Gah

 

[The_lascar]

Prediction League (Feb 21 - Feb 27)

[3DS] Hardware (Nintendo) - 420 000
[3DS] Nintendogs + Cats (Nintendo) - 150 000
[3DS] Professor Layton and the Mask of Miracle (Level 5) - 180 000
[3DS] Super Street Fighter IV: 3D Edition (Capcom) - 30 000
[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles (Koei Tecmo) - 30 000
[3DS] Ridge Racer 3D (Bandai Namco) - 25 000
[3DS] Winning Eleven 3DSoccer (Konami) - 30 000
[NDS] Yu-Gi-Oh! 5D’s World Championship 2011 (Konami) - 31 000
[PSP] Phantasy Star Portable 2: Infinity (Sega) - 200 000
[PSP] Harukanaru Toki no Naka de 5 (Koei Tecmo) - 42 000
[PSP] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 195 000
[WII] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 20 000
[WII] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 10 000
[PS3] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 45 000
[PS3] Disgaea 4 (Nippon Ichi Software) - 75 000
[PS3] Killzone 3 (SCE) - 40 000
[360] The Idolmaster 2 (Bandai Namco) - 60 000

 

[Kurosaki Ichigo]

Last call to armchair analysts, famitsu top10 should be here in little less than 2 hours.

 

[duckroll]

Dumb predictions:

[3DS] Hardware (Nintendo) - 550k
[3DS] Nintendogs + Cats (Nintendo) - 350k
[3DS] Professor Layton and the Mask of Miracle (Level 5) - 250k
[3DS] Super Street Fighter IV: 3D Edition (Capcom) - 80k
[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles (Koei Tecmo) - 40k
[3DS] Ridge Racer 3D (Bandai Namco) - 40k
[3DS] Winning Eleven 3DSoccer (Konami) - 40k
[NDS] Yu-Gi-Oh! 5D’s World Championship 2011 (Konami) - 55k
[PSP] Phantasy Star Portable 2: Infinity (Sega) - 300k
[PSP] Harukanaru Toki no Naka de 5 (Koei Tecmo) - 25k
[PSP] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 150k
[WII] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 50k
[WII] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 10k
[PS3] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 25k
[PS3] Disgaea 4 (Nippon Ichi Software) - 60k
[PS3] Killzone 3 (SCE) - 50k
[360] The Idolmaster 2 (Bandai Namco) - 90k

 

[BowieZ]

Prediction League (Feb 21 - Feb 27)
- 3DS stuff is released on the 26th, Saturday, so 2 days will be covered, the rest is usual 4 days
- Any title missing Media Create Top20 will be taken out of the predictions
- There will be 4 rankings: Best overall by units, best overall by percentages, best in 3DS stuff by units and best in 3DS stuff by percentages. Basically it means the usual pair of rankings and an extra pair for 3DS-only stuff (hard+soft) for its launch commemoration .
...
Your turn, arm-chair analysts

Sorry, prob obvious to most of you, but could someone explain to me why 14-20th is not being predicted? And how the data for 3DS comes out in under 2 hours... :/ ??

 

[Kurosaki Ichigo]

Sorry, prob obvious to most of you, but could someone explain to me why 14-20th is not being predicted? And how the data for 3DS comes out in under 2 hours... :/ ??

14-20th would have been predicted a week ago, but upon discussing it here we passed because there wasn't much to predict.
In 2 hours we get Top10 for the 14-20th week, and we just use it as a deadline so we don't disrupt actual sales numbers discussion with predictions.

We won't get numbers for what we're currently predicting until next Wednesday, so we don't predict until just before we get those numbers but before those titles are released (tomorrow in Japan) which is roughly a week before we get the numbers.

 

[The Abominable Snowman]

What were SFIV/SSFIV's first week sales in comparison with MvC3?

Seems about the same as Super

 

[onken]

Road you better re-check those numbers cause you've fucked up quite a few (unless you really think Ridge Racer is going to sell half a million copies) and left a bunch blank

Predictions:
[3DS] Hardware (Nintendo) - 500k
[3DS] Nintendogs + Cats (Nintendo) - 230k
[3DS] Professor Layton and the Mask of Miracle (Level 5) - 180k
[3DS] Super Street Fighter IV: 3D Edition (Capcom) - 40k
[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles (Koei Tecmo) - 50k
[3DS] Ridge Racer 3D (Bandai Namco) - 40k
[3DS] Winning Eleven 3DSoccer (Konami) - 80k
[NDS] Yu-Gi-Oh! 5D’s World Championship 2011 (Konami) - 35k
[PSP] Phantasy Star Portable 2: Infinity (Sega) - 240k
[PSP] Harukanaru Toki no Naka de 5 (Koei Tecmo) - 40k
[PSP] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 140k
[WII] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 40k
[WII] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 10k
[PS3] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 30k
[PS3] Disgaea 4 (Nippon Ichi Software) - 85k
[PS3] Killzone 3 (SCE) - 40k
[360] The Idolmaster 2 (Bandai Namco) - 75k

 

[cw_sasuke]

Predictions:
[3DS] Hardware (Nintendo) - 560k
[3DS] Nintendogs + Cats (Nintendo) - 220k
[3DS] Professor Layton and the Mask of Miracle (Level 5) - 200k
[3DS] Super Street Fighter IV: 3D Edition (Capcom) - 45k
[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles (Koei Tecmo) - 60k
[3DS] Ridge Racer 3D (Bandai Namco) - 50k
[3DS] Winning Eleven 3DSoccer (Konami) - 60k
[NDS] Yu-Gi-Oh! 5D’s World Championship 2011 (Konami) - 35k
[PSP] Phantasy Star Portable 2: Infinity (Sega) - 190k
[PSP] Harukanaru Toki no Naka de 5 (Koei Tecmo) - 30k
[PSP] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 150k
[WII] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 25k
[WII] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 20k
[PS3] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 20k
[PS3] Disgaea 4 (Nippon Ichi Software) - 75k
[PS3] Killzone 3 (SCE) - 30k
[360] The Idolmaster 2 (Bandai Namco) - 55k

 

[onken]

Predictions:
[WII] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 250k

Slightly optimistic, don't you think?

 

[cw_sasuke]

Thanks ;-)

 

[duckroll]

onken is the 0 police today.

 

[onken]

onken is the 0 police today.

When I win I want it to be because I'm awesome, not because everybody else fucked up their numbers

 

[duckroll]

When I win I want it to be because I'm awesome, not because everybody else fucked up their numbers

But you realize if Ridge Racer does sell 500k, and he fucked it up with an extra 0, he would probably win because of that alone right? (lol)

 

[onken]

But you realize if Ridge Racer does sell 500k, and he fucked it up with an extra 0, he would probably win because of that alone right? (lol)

I will personally stab every person that bought RR3D if that happens (it'll be easy, they'll have all fallen asleep due to the load times)

 

[Spiegel]

Top 10 is out

http://www.famitsu.com/news/201102/23040738.html

 

[duckroll]

I will personally stab every person that bought RR3D if that happens (it'll be easy, they'll have all fallen asleep due to the load times)

They might be weak, but there'll still be a lot of them!

 

[Yoshiya]

Top 10 is out

http://www.famitsu.com/news/201102/23040738.html

Catherine looking strong. Surprised to see Two Words II actually charting.

 

[onken]

1 Catherine PS3
2 Marvel vs Capcom 3 PS3
3 Samurai Warriors 3 Z PS3
4 Tales of the World PSP
5 Monster Hunter Portable 3rd
6 Two Worlds 2 PS3
7 Catherine X360
8 Marvel vs Capcom 3 X360
9 Ace Attorney 2 DS
10 Hakuoki Zuisouroku DS

 

[FINALFANTASYDOG]

AURGH Spent too long posting gave me an timeed out form, here's some random guessing:

Predictions:
[3DS] Hardware (Nintendo) - 401.234
[3DS] Nintendogs + Cats (Nintendo) -111,343k
[3DS] Professor Layton and the Mask of Miracle (Level 5) - 181,343
[3DS] Super Street Fighter IV: 3D Edition (Capcom) - 49,343
[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles (Koei Tecmo) - 47.234
[3DS] Ridge Racer 3D (Bandai Namco) - 38,454
[3DS] Winning Eleven 3DSoccer (Konami) - 38,454
[NDS] Yu-Gi-Oh! 5D’s World Championship 2011 (Konami) - 32,424
[PSP] Phantasy Star Portable 2: Infinity (Sega) - 273.123
[PSP] Harukanaru Toki no Naka de 5 (Koei Tecmo) - 44.343
[PSP] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 172k
[WII] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 26.343
[WII] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 15.343k
[PS3] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 26.243k
[PS3] Disgaea 4 (Nippon Ichi Software) - 92,343
[PS3] Killzone 3 (SCE) - 38.345
[360] The Idolmaster 2 (Bandai Namco) - 38.345

 

[onken]

Catherine looking strong. Surprised to see Two Words II actually charting.

Article mentions TW2 actually sold out it many places.

 

[FINALFANTASYDOG]

Catherine looking strong. Surprised to see Two Words II actually charting.

Two worlds was sold out all over the place, it's interesting we are seeing WRPGS( besides mass effect 2 for some reason) manage a pretty respctable 50k~ multi-platform total per release.

Also: just a pre-note to media create here, PSP still has fun shortages.

 

[xero273]

What were SFIV/SSFIV's first week sales in comparison with MvC3?

Seems about the same as Super

First week.

SFIV (PS3) - 86k
SSFIV (PS3) - 80,882

SFIV (360) - 38k
SSFIV (360) - 28,454

 

[Acosta]

Did Catherine got a top 10 for both versions? Nice.

 

[BowieZ]

14-20th would have been predicted a week ago, but upon discussing it here we passed because there wasn't much to predict.
In 2 hours we get Top10 for the 14-20th week, and we just use it as a deadline so we don't disrupt actual sales numbers discussion with predictions.

We won't get numbers for what we're currently predicting until next Wednesday, so we don't predict until just before we get those numbers but before those titles are released (tomorrow in Japan) which is roughly a week before we get the numbers.

Thanks for that!

I know I'm in a different time zone, but I was like, I didn't think we were THAT far ahead.

 

[Kurosaki Ichigo]

AURGH Spent too long posting gave me an timeed out form, here's some random guessing...

I'll take them this time, but you know [insert swiss clock precision speech here]...

Also, I'll correct Road errors where reasonable (which I've already done before, f.e one of the latest weeks I saw someone typed everything to the unit and still used k like 50,000k) but no those left blank (which I doubt are mistakes but Road betting on them missing top20 so they wouldn't count).

 

[Spiegel]

PSP 63,330
PS3 25,242
Wii 12,221
DSi LL 10,037
DSi 8,022
PSP go 2,487
Xbox 360 2,183
PS2 1,863
DS Lite 973


Catherine PS3 - 142k
MvcC3 PS3 - 67k

Catherine 360 - 22k
MvcC3 360 - 14k

http://www.4gamer.net/games/117/G011794/20110223030/

 

[Sammy Samusu]

Dead at Catherine outselling The Last Story.

 

[Road]

Road you better re-check those numbers cause you've fucked up quite a few (unless you really think Ridge Racer is going to sell half a million copies) and left a bunch blank

Too late now. =\ Thanks anyway.

Maybe K. Ichigo can overlook Ridge Racer and Winning Eleven (clearly a typo). =P

I won't argue about the ones I forgot, though.


Edit: I'm so aloof I didn't even see he already addressed it a couple of posts ago. Thanks. Derp me.

 

[Canova]

PSP Number

 

[Tailzo]

Wasn't Way of the samurai 4 supposed to be out pretty soon? I haven't hear bout that one in a while.

 

[[Nintex]]

Find this post in the new thread

 

[Road]

Wasn't Way of the samurai 4 supposed to be out pretty soon? I haven't hear bout that one in a while.

I think it's coming out next week.

 

[Stumpokapow]

Catherine's first week sales put it at Atlus' 5th best-selling (modern) game of all time in Japan, 2nd best first week sales for an Atlus game in Japan (second only to Persona 4).