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Official October NPD SOFTWARE Prediction Thread - REOPENED UNTIL Wednesday, Nov 14

donny2112

Member
Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 4 p.m. EST on Friday, November 9th.

Now extended until Wednesday for this month only.

Format use is required if you want your entry counted. There is too much variability in how games can be written to do otherwise.

Format:

[360 Ace Combat 6]
[360 Guitar Hero III]
[360 Halo 3]
[360 The Orange Box]
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass]
[PS2 Guitar Hero III]
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future]
[PS3 Guitar Hero III]
[WII Guitar Hero III]
[WII Metroid Prime 3]


Note: Halo 3, Ace Combat 6, and 360/PS2/PS3 Guitar Hero III will be the sum of all the editions/bundles of those games.

Examples:

Code:
Good                           Bad
[360 Ace Combat 6] 123K        [360 Ace Combat 6] 123.5K
[360 Ace Combat 6] 123,000     [360 Ace Combat 6] 123.000
[360 Ace Combat 6] 123000      [360 Ace Combat 6] - 123000
[360 Ace Combat 6] 123456      [360 Ace Combat 6] 20K game, 100K bundle

The Official Hardware Prediction thread is here. If you want to predict for games outside of this list, put them in that thread within quote tags.


NPD Release: November 15th @ 4:00 p.m. EST
NPD Coverage: October 7 - November 3 (4 weeks, September was 5 weeks)


Software sales for games in the list - thanks to sonycowboy and NPD

Code:
                                  August Sales   September Sales   October Sales
[360 Ace Combat 6]                                                   ? (12 days)
[360 Guitar Hero III]                                                ? ( 7 days)
[360 Halo 3]                                      3.3M (12 days)     ? (28 days)
[360 The Orange Box]                                                 ? (25 days)
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass]                    224K ( 6 days)     ? (28 days)
[PS2 Guitar Hero III]                                                ? ( 7 days)
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future]                                         ? (12 days)
[PS3 Guitar Hero III]                                                ? ( 7 days)
[WII Guitar Hero III]                                                ? ( 7 days)
[WII Metroid Prime 3]           218K ( 6 days)    167K (35 days)     ? (28 days)


Points System

1. 10 points * (percentage of correct units for each game); anything over 100% difference = 0 points. Maximum points: 100
2. 5 points for each title at correct ordinal position for this list of games. (-0.5 for each position off, minimum of 0 points). Maximum points: 50


Example for #2:
If you predict [360 The Orange Box] to be third from this list of games, and it finishes first, you get 4 points (5 - 2*0.5).


September Top Ten Predictors - using new points system

Code:
1.  dammitmattt   124.16
2.  BuzzJive      124.10
3.  radjago       122.39
4.  driley        122.01
5.  DayShallCome  121.80
6.  RBH           119.80
7.  rostocker     115.45
8.  FieryBalrog   114.65
9.  kefka2030     114.60
10. tetsuoxb      114.42
 
[360 Halo 3] 700,000
[360 The Orange Box] 380,000
[360 Guitar Hero III] 350,000
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 280,000
[WII Guitar Hero III] 250,000
[WII Wii Play] 240,000
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 200,000
[360 Ace Combat 6] 180,000
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 160,000
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 140,000
 

RBH

Member
[360 Ace Combat 6] 140,000
[360 Guitar Hero III] 550,000
[360 Halo 3] 650,000
[360 The Orange Box] 285,000
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 210,000
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 470,000
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 140,000
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 200,000
[WII Guitar Hero III] 350,000
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 105,000
 

Walshicus

Member
[360 Halo 3] 750,000
[360 The Orange Box] 450,000
[360 Guitar Hero III] 400,000
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 250,000
[WII Guitar Hero III] 250,000
[WII Wii Play] 200,000
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 220,000
[360 Ace Combat 6] 200,000
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 150,000
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 125,000
 
[360 Ace Combat 6] 200k
[360 Guitar Hero III] 500k
[360 Halo 3] 500k
[360 The Orange Box] 350k
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 200k
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 350k
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 200k
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 100k
[WII Guitar Hero III] 400k
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 100k
 
[360 Ace Combat 6] 210k
[360 Guitar Hero III] 570k
[360 Halo 3] 500k
[360 The Orange Box] 200k
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 250k
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 430k
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 135k
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 150k
[WII Guitar Hero III] 250k
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 130k
 
[360 Ace Combat 6] 214k
[360 Halo 3] 1,276k
[360 The Orange Box] 306k
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 166k
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 181k
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 497k
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 103k
[360 Guitar Hero III] 389k
[WII Guitar Hero III] 586k
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 73k
 

Relix

he's Virgin Tight™
[360 Ace Combat 6] 250K
[360 Halo 3] 1, 250K
[360 The Orange Box] 325K
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 166K
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 170K
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 400K
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 125K
[360 Guitar Hero III] 380K
[WII Guitar Hero III] 350K
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 80k
 

GhaleonEB

Member
[360 Ace Combat 6] 155,000
[360 Guitar Hero III] 273,000
[360 Halo 3] 385,000
[360 The Orange Box] 350,000
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 245,000
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 290,000
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 210,000
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 110,000
[WII Guitar Hero III] 140,000
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 120,000
 

andy_lhc

Member
[360 Ace Combat 6] 160,000
[360 Guitar Hero III] 250,000
[360 Halo 3] 800,000
[360 The Orange Box] 330,000
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 250,000
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 300,000
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 170,000
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 150,000
[WII Guitar Hero III] 300,000
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 110,000
 
[360 Ace Combat 6] 200k
[360 Guitar Hero III] 400k
[360 Halo 3] 400k
[360 The Orange Box] 375k
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 300k
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 375k
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 110k
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 150k
[WII Guitar Hero III] 350k
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 140k
 
[360 Ace Combat 6] 150k
[360 Guitar Hero III] 300k
[360 Halo 3] 570k
[360 The Orange Box] 370k
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 220k
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 260k
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 90k
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 130k
[WII Guitar Hero III] 220k
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 60k
 

tetsuoxb

Member
[360 Ace Combat 6] 90,000
[360 Guitar Hero III] 350,000
[360 Halo 3] 800,000
[360 The Orange Box] 380,000
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 175,000
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 280,000
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 180,000
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 98,000
[WII Guitar Hero III] 130,000
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 65,000
 
[360 Ace Combat 6] 85,000
[360 Guitar Hero III] 500,000
[360 Halo 3] 500,000
[360 The Orange Box] 400,000
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 225,000
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 500,000
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 175,000
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 125,000
[WII Guitar Hero III] 250,000
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 75,000
 

Brakara

Member
[360 Ace Combat 6] 125k
[360 Guitar Hero III] 500k
[360 Halo 3] 700k
[360 The Orange Box] 300k
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 190k
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 450k
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 225k
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 225k
[WII Guitar Hero III] 400k
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 100k
 

Olaeh

Member
[360 Ace Combat 6] 100k
[360 Guitar Hero III] 300k
[360 Halo 3] 900k
[360 The Orange Box] 200k
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 200k
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 350k
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 130k
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 100k
[WII Guitar Hero III] 300k
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 85k
 

kefka2030

Member
[360 Ace Combat 6] 184,000
[360 Guitar Hero III] 291,00
[360 Halo 3] 735,000
[360 The Orange Box] 398,000
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 201,000
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 362,000
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 163,000
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 124,000
[WII Guitar Hero III] 211,000
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 92,000
 

Hammer24

Banned
[360 Ace Combat 6] 120,000
[360 Guitar Hero III] 400,000
[360 Halo 3] 755,000
[360 The Orange Box] 420,000
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 270,000
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 280,000
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 130,000
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 98,000
[WII Guitar Hero III] 205,000
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 120,000
 
[360 Ace Combat 6]130k
[360 Guitar Hero III]460k
[360 Halo 3]540k
[360 The Orange Box] 220k
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass]310k
[PS2 Guitar Hero III]540k
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future]190k
[PS3 Guitar Hero III]110k
[WII Guitar Hero III]90k
[WII Metroid Prime 3]110k
 

donny2112

Member
Don't fear the reaper...

[360 Ace Combat 6] 80K
[360 Guitar Hero III] 345K
[360 Halo 3] 300K
[360 The Orange Box] 235K
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 275K
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 500K
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 140K
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 90K
[WII Guitar Hero III] 285K
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 85K

Thanks to sonycowboy and NPD for still letting us do software predictions and get the results! :D
 

Belgorim

Member
so this is still a go?

if so, I grabbed these out of my ass:

[360 Ace Combat 6] 150k
[360 Guitar Hero III] 500k
[360 Halo 3] 750k
[360 The Orange Box] 350k
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 100k
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 600k
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 150k
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 80k
[WII Guitar Hero III] 350k
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 100k
 

Belgorim

Member
Cheesemeister said:
Interest in software is very underwhelming compared to hardware. =(
I guess it is harder, and there is all this confusion this month because of the NPD thingy so people don't know whats up :)
 

rostocker

Member
[360 Ace Combat 6] 82K
[360 Guitar Hero III] 520K
[360 Halo 3] 739K
[360 The Orange Box] 288K
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 225K
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 440K
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 135K
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 101K
[WII Guitar Hero III] 420K
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 100K
 

donny2112

Member
Less than 22 hours left until predictions close. :)

We have been confirmed by sonycowboy and driley that we will get these numbers, so predict away! :)
 
[360 Ace Combat 6] 101K
[360 Guitar Hero III] 475K
[360 Halo 3] 600K
[360 The Orange Box] 275K
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 200K
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 475K
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 115K
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 140K
[WII Guitar Hero III] 400K
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 99K
 

Zzoram

Member
[360 Halo 3] 900K
[360 Guitar Hero III] 600K
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 500K
[WII Guitar Hero III] 450K
[360 The Orange Box] 400K
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 300K
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 290K
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 250K
[360 Ace Combat 6] 150K
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 100K
 

Christine

Member
[360 Ace Combat 6] 88k
[360 Guitar Hero III] 455k
[360 Halo 3] 666k
[360 The Orange Box] 333k
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 242k
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 366k
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 128k
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 67k
[WII Guitar Hero III] 200k
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 128k
 

Chumly

Member
[360 Ace Combat 6] 100K
[360 Guitar Hero III] 600K
[360 Halo 3] 600K
[360 The Orange Box] 300K
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 150K
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 800K
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 170K
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 200K
[WII Guitar Hero III] 250K
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 90K
 

The M.O.B

Member
[360 Ace Combat 6] 120k
[360 Guitar Hero III] 360k
[360 Halo 3] 655k
[360 The Orange Box] 355k
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 155k
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 330k
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 300k
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 240k
[WII Guitar Hero III] 290k
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 90k
 
[360 Ace Combat 6] 140k
[360 Guitar Hero III] 300k
[360 Halo 3] 450k
[360 The Orange Box] 350k
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 215k
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 275k
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 180k
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 100k
[WII Guitar Hero III] 150k
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 120k
 

Jewbacca

Banned
[360 Ace Combat 6] 110k
[360 Guitar Hero III] 500k
[360 Halo 3] 475k
[360 The Orange Box] 400k
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 175k
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 625k
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 100k
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 90k
[WII Guitar Hero III] 125k
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 75k
 

C4Lukins

Junior Member
[360 Ace Combat 6] 112K
[360 Guitar Hero III] 425K
[360 Halo 3] 750K
[360 The Orange Box] 375K
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 200K
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 385K
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 180K
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 185K
[WII Guitar Hero III] 426K
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 66K


This is hard
 

zsidane

Member
[360 Ace Combat 6] 160k
[360 Guitar Hero III] 510k
[360 Halo 3] 580k
[360 The Orange Box] 275k
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 240k
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 310k
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 130k
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 115k
[WII Guitar Hero III] 190k
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 85k
 
Hey, I was third
to the last
last time so might as well continue the tradition.

[360 Ace Combat 6] 115k
[360 Guitar Hero III] 485k
[360 Halo 3] 815k
[360 The Orange Box] 420k
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 220k
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 450k
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 90k
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 115k
[WII Guitar Hero III] 210k
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 105k
 

BuzzJive

Member
[360 Ace Combat 6] 91k
[360 Guitar Hero III] 420k
[360 Halo 3] 330k
[360 The Orange Box] 375k
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 232k
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 369k
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 167k
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 147k
[WII Guitar Hero III] 222k
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 98k
 

radjago

Member
[360 Ace Combat 6] 145K
[360 Guitar Hero III] 450K
[360 Halo 3] 740K
[360 The Orange Box] 220K
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 150K
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 500K
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 180K
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 120K
[WII Guitar Hero III] 330K
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 80K
 

JJConrad

Sucks at viral marketing
[360 Ace Combat 6] 40k
[360 Guitar Hero III] 275k
[360 Halo 3] 800k
[360 The Orange Box] 260k
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 260k
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 500k
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 80k
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 85k
[WII Guitar Hero III] 265k
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 65k
 
[360 Ace Combat 6] 90K
[360 Guitar Hero III] 360K
[360 Halo 3] 320K
[360 The Orange Box] 230K
[NDS Zelda: Phantom Hourglass] 290K
[PS2 Guitar Hero III] 480K
[PS3 Ratchet & Clank Future] 125K
[PS3 Guitar Hero III] 80K
[WII Guitar Hero III] 260K
[WII Metroid Prime 3] 80K
 
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