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Media Create figures - June 26 to July 2

I

ioi

Banned
GaimeGuy said:
That's what YOU think.
Click to expand...

Well I said they would both do 4m+ about 3-4 months ago so I can't see them slowing just yet ;-)

You really have to look at the sales pattern compared to other titles to see just how unprecidented the figures are.

I began (first 5-6 weeks) by comparing BT2 to Gran Turismo:
http://www.vgcharts.org/japcomp.php?name1=Brain+Training+2&name2=Gran+Turismo

Which started off as a reasonable comparison until BT just kept selling long after GT had dropped away in it's lifetime.

Look at BT2 versus other big titles:

Dragon Quest VIII:
http://www.vgcharts.org/japcomp.php?name1=Brain+Training+2&name2=Dragon+Quest+VIII

It's only a matter of time before it passes what has to be considered as the biggest game series in Japan over the last 20 years (consistently).


Final Fantasy VII:
http://www.vgcharts.org/japcomp.php?name1=Brain+Training+2&name2=Final+Fantasy+VII

The record breaking title will be history in a couple of weeks


Pokemon Ruby / Sapphire
http://www.vgcharts.org/japcomp.php?name1=Brain+Training+2&name2=Pokemon+Ruby+%2F+Sapphire

You'd have to give it a small chance at 5.5m- the game should get a healthy boost around xmas / new year.


Pokemon Red / Green / Blue
http://www.vgcharts.org/japcomp.php?name1=Brain+Training+2&name2=Pokemon+Red+%2F+Green+%2F+Blue

Well this it the only way BT2 is going to get beaten I'm afraid! It's likely that no game will ever have the legs Pokemon R/G/B had!!


Impressive stuff indeed.


BT2 vs AC:WW is also an interesting one, almost identical although you can see BT gaining...
http://www.vgcharts.org/japcomp.php?name1=Brain+Training+2&name2=Animal+Crossing%3A+Wild+World
 
A

A Link to the Past

Banned
Nintendo needs to do a $5 price drop on Brain Age, Big Brain Academy, Brain Training 2, Animal Crossing WW, English Training, Super Mario 64 DS, Mario Kart DS, Nintendogs, Jump! Superstars and WarioWare: Touched!. That'd help them dominate the charts some more.
 
P

Provider

Member
Hardware numbers are in:

DSL 153,566
PSP 25,935
PS2 23,133
DS 3,504
GBASP 2,919
Xbox360 1,897
GBM 1,443
GC 1,002
GBA 17
Xbox 8
 
M

mutsu

Member
When will this hardware trend change?

It's actually getting a bit boring seeing DS dominate the charts every week.
 
M

MrSardonic

The nerdiest nerd of all the nerds in nerdland
Provider said:
Hardware numbers are in:

DSL 153,566
PSP 25,935
PS2 23,133
DS 3,504
Click to expand...

the DS sales pattern from DSL launch through to Jan 2007 is going to be totally insane! Japan has never seen anything like this
 
P

polg

Member
The_lascar said:
LTD :
DS Lite : 2 640 209
PSP : 3 603 901
NDS : 6 553 244

NDS+DSL : 9 193 453
Click to expand...
this means that dsl alone will sell around NDS LTD by end of 2006, if patter continues
 
M

mj1108

Member
polg said:
this means that dsl alone will sell around NDS LTD by end of 2006, if patter continues
Click to expand...

You mean PSP LTD?

If that's what you're referring to, it'll be waaay before the end of 2006. If it keeps going at this rate, it'll be around 7-8 weeks from now when that happens.
 
P

polg

Member
um... I meant nds... it will sell ~1.5mil in december
then it has to keep selling 150K per week til that month... something like that?
 
G

Gahiggidy

My aunt & uncle run a Mom & Pop store, "The Gamecube Hut", and sold 80k WiiU within minutes of opening.
Why did the 360 go up?
confused.gif
 
K

kisakiproject

Member
Eddz said:
11 | NDS | Tetris DS | Nintendo
12 | NDS | Digimon Story | Bandai-Namco
13 | NDS | Mario Kart DS | Nintendo
14 | PSP | Sony Computer Science Kenkyuusho Kenmogi Kenichirou Hakase Kanshuu - Nou ni Kaikan: Aha Taiken | SCE
15 | NDS | Pokemon Ranger | Nintendo
16 | 360 | Chromehounds | SEGA | 9,200 / 9,200
17 | PS2 | Hisshou Pachi-Slot Kouryoku Series Vol. 5 | D3 Publisher
18 | NDS | Phoenix Wright: Ace Attourney (Best Price!) | Capcom
19 | PS2 | Parufu: Chocolat Second Brew | Alchemist
20 | NDS | Metroid Prime: Hunters | Nintendo
21 | NDS | Big Brain Academy | Nintendo
22 | NDS | Magical Vacation: 5-tsu no Hoshi Ganarabutoki | Nintendo | 5,500 / 19,000
23 | PS2 | King of Fighters XI | SNK
24 | 360 | Kong | Electronic Arts
25 | NDS | Puzzle Series Vol. 3: Sudoku | Hudson | 4,900 / 76,000
26 | PS2 | FIFA Street 2 | Electronic Arts
27 | PS2 | Simple 2000 Series Vol. 101: The Oane-Chapara 2 | D3 Publisher
28 | PS2 | Soul Link: Extension | Interchannel
29 | PSP | Brain Trainer Portable 2 | SEGA
30 | PS2 | Fiesta!! Hyper Girls Party | Kid Game


This is so hard with a trackpad.
Click to expand...


Whats that?
 
E

Emotions

Member
When FF 3 and Pokemon are out DSL +200.000
weekly,that'll be so awesome.
but then again DS is just a fad and people just get it for novelty it will soon stop selling /monobots :p
 
J

JoshuaJSlone

Member
GBASP after 18 weeks: 1.15M
DSL after 18 weeks: 2.64M
Time for GBASP to reach 2.64M: ~48 weeks

"GBA after SP" after 18 weeks: 295K
"DS after DSL" after 18 weeks: 455K
Time for "GBA after SP" to reach 455K: ~33 weeks

DS after 18 weeks: 2.02M
PSP after 18 weeks: 1.17M
GBM after 18 weeks: 433K

The above data in graph form
 
K

kisakiproject

Member
Thats Ghost recon selling roughly 5k in Japan on 360. Mildly impressed. Poor Spectral whatever isnt in the top 30. LTD is 127k m-create wise I think.
 
J

JoshuaJSlone

Member
So he's not nearly as easy to get looking good as Pac-Man, but I figured if it was going to be a game character, it might as well be first-party.
20060706kirbypie.png
 
C

cvxfreak

Member
Holy crap at the DS Lite. It's selling 1 on 1 with Mario statistically.

10 Million, here we come!

P.S. Joshua, we need our "in X weeks, at current pace, DS will be at Y amount" stuff! :lol
 
C

Clever Pun

Member
Emotions said:
When FF 3 and Pokemon are out DSL +200.000
weekly,that'll be so awesome.
but then again DS is just a fad and people just get it for novelty it will soon stop selling /monobots :p
Click to expand...

200.000 + (or maybe a little more) sounds right for FF3, but i wouldn't be surprised if we see 350.000-400.000 for the first week of pokemon.
 
J

JoshuaJSlone

Member
cvxfreak said:
P.S. Joshua, we need our "in X weeks, at current pace, DS will be at Y amount" stuff! :lol
Click to expand...
I remember some months back there were a number of different opinions on how well DS Lite would be selling in the coming months, but I could not find it. Maybe it wasn't in a Media Create thread, or I was just looking in the wrong ones. I know my estimates at the time are below what the reality is; I didn't think they'd consistently be better than 100K past April.

However, since the year is now half over and there's plenty of data to work with, I can do a pretty guess-free year-end extrapolation for each system (or hardware family) based on its 2005 total, and how it has done so far in 2006 versus this time in 2005. I do think this will overestimate everything, though, for a variety of reasons. This year there won't be a big GBA bump due to introduction of a new model. Due to low DS supply the original model doesn't seem like it can sell nearly what it did last year. Increased competition from PS3 and Wii. That DS would have to have a week of 2 million if it really were to consistently do 3 times as well as last year.


GCN: 273,180 _ -55.6% _ 121,416
GBA: 25,407 _ -79.3% _ 5,262
GBASP: 696,263 _ -57.5% _ 296,135
GBM: N/A
GBA total: 1,136,758 _ -32.7% _ 765,599
DS: 4,151,356 _ -15.4% _ 3,511,448
DSL: N/A
DS total: 4,151,356 _ +231.0% _ 13,740,994
PS2: 1,968,846 _ -30.1% _ 1,360,667
PSP: 2,200,710 _ -7.9% _ 2,026,576
Xbox: 12,017 _ -79.9% _ 2,410
X360: N/A
 
D

Doogdogg

Member
The yearly top 100 charts is going to be insane this year. :lol

Possiblly 3 triple platinum titles
Several double
and rest are single platinum (in the top ten)
 
C

cvxfreak

Member
Doogdogg said:
The yearly top 100 charts is going to be insane this year. :lol

Possiblly 3 triple platinum titles
Several double
and rest are single platinum (in the top ten)
Click to expand...

I'm predicting the top 10 to be at the very least:

1. New Super Mario Bros.
2. Brain Age 2
3. Brain Age
4. Final Fantasy XII
5. Pokemon Diamond
6. Pokemon Pearl
7. Animal Crossing WW
8. English Training DS
9. Winning Eleven 9
10. Final Fantasy III

You can scramble the order around, but they're all million sellers.
 
D

Dalthien

Member
cvxfreak said:
I'm predicting the top 10 to be at the very least:

1. New Super Mario Bros.
2. Brain Age 2
3. Brain Age
4. Final Fantasy XII
5. Pokemon Diamond
6. Pokemon Pearl
7. Animal Crossing WW
8. English Training DS
9. Winning Eleven 9
10. Final Fantasy III

You can scramble the order around, but they're all million sellers.
Click to expand...
Well, if it's the Famitsu Top 100 chart that we're talking about, then I'm guessing that Pokemon Diamond/Pearl will be combined into one entry. So feel free to add another title to the list. :)
 
C

cvxfreak

Member
Dalthien said:
Well, if it's the Famitsu Top 100 chart that we're talking about, then I'm guessing that Pokemon Diamond/Pearl will be combined into one entry. So feel free to add another title to the list. :)
Click to expand...

Tetris DS? :D

Maybe even MKDS can make it into the top 15 since Famitsu usually starts in the final week of the previous year in a two-week period.
 
N

Nazgul_Hunter

Member
In honor of this week's theme:



(Sorry for the bad quality but I couldn't find a clean shot of Kirby, plus I lost all my work, and I just had the final grouping in my clipboard)
 
D

Doogdogg

Member
cvxfreak said:
I'm predicting the top 10 to be at the very least:

1. New Super Mario Bros.
2. Brain Age 2
Click to expand...




I think Brain Age 2 will take lead, it's already is currently. NSMB is 650k behind and for every 100+k (weekly) Mario will sell in the next few weeks before dropping below, BA2 will sell 50K and remain consistent. I don't see Mario selling 50k weekly like evergreen BA2 2-3 months from now.
 
C

cvxfreak

Member
Doogdogg said:
I think Brain Age 2 will take lead, it's already is currently. NSMB is 650k behind and for every 100+k (weekly) Mario will sell in the next few weeks before dropping below, BA2 will sell 50K and remain consistent. I don't see Mario selling 50k weekly like evergreen BA2 2-3 months from now.
Click to expand...

But part of PT2's sales came from 2005, which is why I placed them that way.

Still possible for BT2 to lead, though.
 
T

Tadaima

Member
cvxfreak said:
4. Final Fantasy XII
5. Pokemon Diamond
6. Pokemon Pearl
Click to expand...

If NSMB can sell that many in three days, I think it's safe to say that D/P may just smash records and chart above FFXII.

Time will tell*

*Yes, I currently am listening to Utada Hikaru.
 
E

Eroding_Era

Member
Anyone been making predictions as to when the next DS+Lite sales will be under 100k?

Checking those would make for some entertainment :D
 
S

starship

psycho_snake's and The Black Brad Pitt's B*TCH
medrew said:
1 New Super Mario Bros. (NDS) 154299 (2,003,112)
2 Dragon Ball Z (PS2) 95082 (95,082)
3 Brain Age 2 (NDS) 54564 (2,649,553)
4 Valkyrie Profile 2: Silmeria (PS2) 37466 (318,976)
5 Winning Eleven 10 (PS2) 10 37342 (900,799)
6 Brain Age (NDS) 37228 (2,474,602)
7 Animal Crossing WW (NDS) 27070 (2,885,061)
8 Summer Holidays 20th Century (PSP) 26314 (26,314)
9 English Training (NDS) 23883 (1,217,208)
10 Atelier Iris Grand Fantasm (PS2) 23760 (23,760)

http://eg.nttpub.co.jp/ranking.html

Working on translation now...
Click to expand...
I predicted NSMB would break 2m mark after 6 weeks and this is my prediction last week:

kia said:
I think it will do something like this in the next weeks:

150k ---> 120k ---> 100k ---> 90k ---> 80k ---> 80k ....

I don't think its sales fell below 80k anytime soon.
It will do more than 4m easily and IMO it will become the best selling DS games except Pokemon D/P.
Click to expand...

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=3720668&postcount=400

Good prediction so far. :D
 
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