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Official August 2007 NPD Prediction Thread

B

Belgorim

Member
oh, my first ever predictions are going to be brave brave brave.

[Wii] 280,000 - Suddenly noone wants the Wii anymore, fad over!
[NDS] 400,000 - Who doesnt love the DS?
[GBA] 60,000 - Does it matter? :(
[PS2] 280,000 - Madden!
[PS3] 140,000 - Everyone and their mother is waiting for HS!
[PSP] 200,000 - Half of DS, only reason I have
[360] 350,000 - Some people thought this was the Halo 3 month?
 
M

Michan

Member
[NDS] 450,000
[WII] 410,000
[360] 270,000
[PS2] 220,000
[PSP] 195,000
[PS3] 160,000
[GBA] 77,000
[NGC] 6,500
[XBX] 1
 
T

Thunder Monkey

Banned
sonycowboy said:
[WII] 425k
[NDS] 385k
[360] 245k
[PS2] 205k
[PSP] 185k
[PS3] 140k
[GBA] 77k
Click to expand...
It was crazy to think the Wii was going to outsell the DS last month, and this month sonycowboy expects it to outsell the DS by more then last month?

Japan is settling down, and now America is going crazy.
 
T

Thunder Monkey

Banned
Haunted One said:
Did you buy one last month or what?
Click to expand...
He bought it out from under me. The very last Xbox... I was standing right there, and he came around the corner with one of those "Wal-Marts" people and just zipped along and stole it. How am I gonna replay KotOR for the 23rd time now?

Mine died after five years running.

Michan said:
Well, I thought 0 might be too low, but I haven't seen any in stores anywhere.

Therefore, 1.
Click to expand...

...

Apparently I was wrong.

Coulda sworn it was you, had some nasty DBZ yaoi shit on their shirt.
 
C

Culex

Banned
Which can we expect first?:

The official hardware numbers from Sonycowboy or an official press release showing the numbers and dollar figures?
 
D

donny2112

Member
sonycowboy said:
.
Click to expand...

I was wondering whether you would get it in on time. :lol Software? I'll be tallying the software this month like last month. Five people predicted a top 10 last month
Surprisingly, everyone finished in the top five
, and four people have, so far, this month.
 
S

sonycowboy

Member
donny2112 said:
I was wondering whether you would get it in on time. :lol Software? I'll be tallying the software this month like last month. Five people predicted a top 10 last month, and four people have, so far, this month.
Click to expand...

I really, really just threw it together. Work is simply kicking my ass lately so I didn't spend anytime doing my traditional legwork. I can't afford a zero point effort in our "FedEx" cup point standings here. I've been getting hammered the past several months on my Nintendo estimates (as has everybody from a points standpoint). It's just so hard to put a number to the Wii and DS with the supply issues and this month we've got a new DS bundle.
 
J

Jiggy

Member
Belgorim said:
oh, my first ever predictions are going to be brave brave brave.

[Wii] 280,000 - Suddenly noone wants the Wii anymore, fad over!
[NDS] 400,000 - Who doesnt love the DS?
[GBA] 60,000 - Does it matter? :(
[PS2] 280,000 - Madden!
[PS3] 140,000 - Everyone and their mother is waiting for HS!
[PSP] 200,000 - Half of DS, only reason I have
[360] 350,000 - Some people thought this was the Halo 3 month?
Click to expand...
Well, that's an interesting way to put it. At least for the Wii and 360 predictions.
 
D

donny2112

Member
NeoGAF Top Ten Software for August:

1. 360 Madden 08 - 913K (4)
2. PS2 Madden 08 - 842K (4)
3. 360 Bioshock - 429K (4)
4. WII Madden 08 - 318K (2)
5. PS3 Madden 08 - 238K (4)
6. WII Wii Play - 231K (4)
7. WII Metroid Prime 3 - 216K (4)
8. 360 NCAA Football 08 - 179K (2)
9. PS2 Guitar Hero Encore: Rock the 80s - 176K (4)
10. WII Mario Party 8 - 128K (2)

WII: 4
360: 3
PS2: 2
PS3: 1

The criteria for inclusion is ordered first by how many people had it in their top 10 and then by # of units. Eleven games had at least two people include it in their top ten, and this is the top ten of those. () is the number of people to include a game in their top ten.
 
D

dammitmattt

Banned
[WII] 400,000
[NDS] 400,000
[360] 275,000
[PS2] 215,000
[PSP] 215,000
[PS3] 125,000
[GBA] 90,000

software said:
1. Madden 08 (360) - 800k
2. Madden 08 (PS2) - 600k
3. BioShock (360) - 500k
4. Metroid Prime 3 (Wii) - 400k
5. Madden 08 (PS3) - 300k
6. Brain Age 2 (NDS) - 275k
7. Madden 08 (Wii) - 260k
8. Wii Play (Wii) - 250k
9. Guitar Hero 80s (PS2) - 175k
10. Mario Party 8 (Wii) - 150k
Click to expand...
 
D

donny2112

Member
Cheesemeister,
Can you send me the raw data for predictions? That way I can set up the points stuff beforehand and just be waiting for the actual sales. Thanks! :)
 
S

schuelma

Wastes hours checking old Famitsu software data, but that's why we love him.
Agent Icebeezy said:
2 hours early, nice
Click to expand...

Well, that's when they're always released I believe- they aren't made public until 2 hours later.
 
G

GhaleonEB

Member
schuelma said:
Well, that's when they're always released I believe- they aren't made public until 2 hours later.
Click to expand...
That's what I was going to say. We may get a trickle or two such as via the ever-leaky Matt on IGN, but don't expect anything until 6:30 east coast and 3:30 PTD.

The rest of the year is going to be pretty unpredictable, so I'm excited to see where things are heading.
 
S

sonycowboy

Member
GhaleonEB said:
That's what I was going to say. We may get a trickle or two such as via the ever-leaky Matt on IGN, but don't expect anything until 6:30 east coast and 3:30 PTD.

The rest of the year is going to be pretty unpredictable, so I'm excited to see where things are heading.
Click to expand...

Sorry bout that.

4:30PM = released to clients
~6:30PM = official PR released
 
S

schuelma

Wastes hours checking old Famitsu software data, but that's why we love him.
GhaleonEB said:
That's what I was going to say. We may get a trickle or two such as via the ever-leaky Matt on IGN, but don't expect anything until 6:30 east coast and 3:30 PTD.

The rest of the year is going to be pretty unpredictable, so I'm excited to see where things are heading.
Click to expand...

Agree, the rest of the year is going to be fun stuff, on both the hardware and software side of things. So many subplots for tomorrow..Madden numbers, Bioshock, Metroid, 360 rise, PS3's hold from last month, Wii's supply...ahhh can't wait. :D
 
D

donny2112

Member
Predictions were cut off at post #326. Try to get your predictions in earlier next month. This thread is usually started ~ 1 week before NPD is to be released.

Cheesemeister,
Can you please post the NeoGAF aggregate and ranges? :)
 
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