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[Welfare]

Top 10 http://venturebeat.com/2016/03/10/february-2016-npd/

Far Cry: Primal (PS4, Xbox One)
Call of Duty: Black Ops III (Xbox One, PS4, 360, PS3, PC)
Grand Theft Auto V (PS4, Xbox One, 360, PS3, PC)
Naruto Shippuden: Ultimate Ninja Storm (PS4, Xbox One)
NBA 2K16 (PS4, Xbox One, 360, PS3)
Lego Marvel Avengers (360, Xbox One, PS4, Wii U, PS3, 3DS, Vita)
Street Fighter V (PS4)
Minecraft (360, Xbox One, PS4, PS3)
Fire Emblem Fates: Birthright (3DS)
Fallout 4 (PS4, Xbox One, PC)

 

[crazyprac]

Damn ps4 with that software.

 

[Cow Goes Moo]

It beat Deadpool. So it has that going for it, which is nice.

deadpool the movie? omg

 

[Ōkami]

Far Cry: Primal (PS4, Xbox One)
Call of Duty: Black Ops III (Xbox One, PS4, 360, PS3, PC)
Grand Theft Auto V (PS4, Xbox One, 360, PS3, PC)
Naruto Shippuden: Ultimate Ninja Storm (PS4, Xbox One)
NBA 2K16 (PS4, Xbox One, 360, PS3)
Lego Marvel Avengers (360, Xbox One, PS4, Wii U, PS3, 3DS, Vita)
Street Fighter V (PS4)
Minecraft (360, Xbox One, PS4, PS3)
Fire Emblem Fates: Birthright (3DS)
Fallout 4 (PS4, Xbox One, PC)

 

[Shadoken]

Well yeah I doubt a fighting game would be something like Far Cry.

Pretty sure if the game didn't have such a terrible launch it could have easily topped it. MK and SF4 launched at 800-900k on their first month on NPD.

 

[CosmicQueso]

Slave, nah

 

[viHuGi]

Top 10 http://venturebeat.com/2016/03/10/february-2016-npd/

Far Cry: Primal (PS4, Xbox One)
Call of Duty: Black Ops III (Xbox One, PS4, 360, PS3, PC)
Grand Theft Auto V (PS4, Xbox One, 360, PS3, PC)
Naruto Shippuden: Ultimate Ninja Storm (PS4, Xbox One)
NBA 2K16 (PS4, Xbox One, 360, PS3)
Lego Marvel Avengers (360, Xbox One, PS4, Wii U, PS3, 3DS, Vita)
Street Fighter V (PS4)
Minecraft (360, Xbox One, PS4, PS3)
Fire Emblem Fates: Birthright (3DS)
Fallout 4 (PS4, Xbox One, PC)

GTA and Blops 3 can't stop.

 

[bananafactory]

Pretty sure if the game didn't have such a terrible launch it could have easily topped it. MK and SF4 launched at 800-900k on their first month on NPD.

On only one platform?

 

[Ryng_tolu]

Far Cry primal did amazing wow.

Happy to see one SKUs of Fates in TOP TEN, even if was expect.

 

[bud23]

Software predictions:

1- Primal
2- BLOPS 3

Spoiler

3- SF V

Nailed it

 

[AncientDiety]

How long before someone posts COD selling better on x1 not realising with bundles it probably never .

 

[onanie]

With your username I'd have a theory.

Oh no, what's wrong with my hand?

 

[DriftingSpirit]

Heck I saw someone predict 50K for SFV!! Low number, but not catastrophically bad.

Yeah, I was just poking at stuff like that.

US loves them shooters. Didn't know Naruto was that big.

Yeah, they shipped like 3 million for Naruto. It is a fairly big title with the bulk of it selling in the west.

 

[slavesnyder]

Oh I will.

Curious about the Primal split actually. Since it's not a shooter, does it lean more to Playstation than usual? Would be interesting data.

What should we call it? A clubber?

 

[ninjablade]

how come no official npd thread?

 

[Boke1879]

How long before someone posts COD selling better on x1 not realising with bundles it probably never .

within 5 posts.

 

[CosmicQueso]

What should we call it? A clubber?

When Dead Island launched it was listed as "1st Person Melee"

 

[slavesnyder]

Slave, nah

Thanks, spaceman.
hmm, I already had hopes to win big this month.

When Dead Island launched it was listed as "1st Person Melee"

That's pretty.

 

[Blackleg-sanji1]

Well its not as good as im sure capcom wanted but at least its Not all the doom and gloom this thread would have had you believe

 

[Lucreto]

Street Fighter did okay for February numbers. Street Fighter IV released in July when people have more money to spend.

 

[Hex]

Well its not as good as im sure capcom wanted but at least its Not all the doom and gloom this thread would have had you believe

Alot of people went digi on it, so not bad at all really.

 

[Dash_Riprock]

Street Fighter did okay for February numbers. Street Fighter IV released in July when people have more money to spend.

Um, for Arcades. Console version came out in February too.

 

[Obliterator]

Alot of people went digi on it, so not bad at all really.

Judging by the February PSN results not really. Its a bad number all around

 

[Jigorath]

Great result for Naruto.

 

[slavesnyder]

Radio silence from Redmond.

 

[RexNovis]

Top 10 http://venturebeat.com/2016/03/10/february-2016-npd/

Far Cry: Primal (PS4, Xbox One)
Call of Duty: Black Ops III (Xbox One, PS4, 360, PS3, PC)
Grand Theft Auto V (PS4, Xbox One, 360, PS3, PC)
Naruto Shippuden: Ultimate Ninja Storm (PS4, Xbox One)
NBA 2K16 (PS4, Xbox One, 360, PS3)
Lego Marvel Avengers (360, Xbox One, PS4, Wii U, PS3, 3DS, Vita)
Street Fighter V (PS4)
Minecraft (360, Xbox One, PS4, PS3)
Fire Emblem Fates: Birthright (3DS)
Fallout 4 (PS4, Xbox One, PC)

Of course GTA, MInecraft and Fallout still chart -_-
I blame you all for Cyber SLeuth's failure to chart.

 

[Cow Goes Moo]

Of course GTA, MInecraft and Fallout still chart -_-
I blame you all for Cyber SLeuth's failure to chart.

i bought digital though

 

[Lucreto]

Um, for Arcades. Console version came out in February too.

Oh, your right.

I Googled "Street Fighter release date" and 18th July came up. My mistake.

 

[RexNovis]

Far Cry: Primal (PS4, Xbox One)
Call of Duty: Black Ops III (Xbox One, PS4, 360, PS3, PC)
Grand Theft Auto V (PS4, Xbox One, 360, PS3, PC)
Naruto Shippuden: Ultimate Ninja Storm (PS4, Xbox One)
NBA 2K16 (PS4, Xbox One, 360, PS3)
Lego Marvel Avengers (360, Xbox One, PS4, Wii U, PS3, 3DS, Vita)
Street Fighter V (PS4)
Minecraft (360, Xbox One, PS4, PS3)
Fire Emblem Fates: Birthright (3DS)
Fallout 4 (PS4, Xbox One, PC)

SFV is above Fates though! Maybe it didnt bomb as much as everyone thought it would!

 

[theprodigy]

SFV is above Fates though! Maybe it didnt bomb as much as everyone thought it would!

lol if Birthright alone was enough to beat SFV that would've been really embarassing

 

[Welfare]

PS4 version of Naruto UNS4 will outsell SFV.

Damn it I was half right!

 

[Trust me. I'm a PhD]

Just saying I called it.

I saw you in NPD, so you already know, but Cream clarified that SFV was higher than Naruto PS4; the special edition was not being counted.

 

[RexNovis]

lol if Birthright alone was enough to beat SFV that would've been really embarassing

Why you gotta kick me while I'm down? Come on T_T

 

[mujun]

how come no official npd thread?

There is one. Posted by Nirolak about 7 hours ago.

 

[Trust me. I'm a PhD]

Hmmmm... PS4 right on the money, but too optimistic on Xbox1 and too pessimistic on WiiU?!? RexNovis was right, I am a disgrace to Optimism Gaf ㅠㅠ

 

[noobie]

what are the final numbers?

 

[RexNovis]

Hmmmm... PS4 right on the money, but too optimistic on Xbox1 and too pessimistic on WiiU?!? RexNovis was right, I am a disgrace to Optimism Gaf ㅠㅠ

Well now you know better

 

[slavesnyder]

what are the final numbers?

Me too want to know.

 

[allan-bh]

Maybe 3DS should be removed, will be hard to have good numbers every month, the estimates are increasingly less reliable and can ends up distorting the real performance in predictions.

 

[GifGafIsTheBestGaf]

Maybe 3DS should be removed, will be hard to have good numbers every month, the estimates are increasingly less reliable and can ends up distorting the real performance in predictions.

i approve of this message

 

[CosmicQueso]

The 3DS is a dead platform. If you removed PS3/X360, no reason to hold on to 3DS.

The estimates to date, however, have been fine.

 

[Sterok]

The 3DS still sells a relevant amount of hardware, even if software rarely charts, though it's got Pokemon later in the year for that. Keep it until NX launches.

 

[theprodigy]

The 3DS is a dead platform. If you removed PS3/X360, no reason to hold on to 3DS.

The estimates to date, however, have been fine.

if 3DS should be gone cause it's dead, then the Wii U should've disappeared ages ago

 

[slavesnyder]

The 3DS still sells a relevant amount of hardware, even if software rarely charts, though it's got Pokemon later in the year for that. Keep it until NX launches.

I am with you, even if 3DS starts to smell funny, we should count it as long as it sells decent amounts.
Even if numbers come belated.
Maybe we can establish a rule like: If we don't have reliable numbers for a console 10 days after NPD, it's taken out of the scores for the month.

 

[donny2112]

The main determining factor in choosing systems to predict for in points is that they sell enough each month to avoid a situation where a trivial difference in units (e.g. 10K, which nominally would be really close) produces a untoward difference in % off (20% off for a 10K difference at 50K seems pretty out of sorts to me, when being "only 10K off" nominally would be pretty close). That's why PS360 are not included. It's not because they're qualitatively dead. It's because they're quantitatively dead. This is a numbers game, after all.

Speed of getting prediction results is not a determining factor. We've waited for Nintendo to release quarterly reports before to get numbers (back when they actually released monthly sales numbers per region). If there simply is no public way to get a number, other means can be considered, but if the numbers used to get the results are not all public, then the results for that month cannot have numbers attached to them, either, to hide the original data used in the calculations. My preference is to only use public data, so that we can actually see the results. But if that's simply not an option, it's not an option.

 

[slavesnyder]

As long as donny sees clear I'm happy.
Thank you, sir.

 

[Raist]

If the 3DS is dropped, the WiiU might just be as well.

 

[Bruno MB]

If the 3DS is dropped, the WiiU might just be as well.

Then we might as well drop the entire NPD prediction league.

 

[Welfare]

Then we might as well drop the entire NPD prediction league.

The PS4 and XB1 are the only relevant consoles out anyway. Nintendo is basically out of the game until NX.

 

[slavesnyder]

The PS4 and XB1 are the only relevant consoles out anyway. Nintendo is basically out of the game until NX.

This is snobby.
It's like saying the smaller teams at the bottom of a league are irrelevant. We need them like three-cent stamps.