Well, there is another obvious element in regard to those upcoming games: They will all release 4 years + into the life cycle of the console...That is already too late. The PS3 was able to correct course because of how popular the brand is around the world, and even then, it never was able to catch up in those territories where the 360 had secured a significant lead: North America, England...
Does the Xbox brand have enough pull to succeed in changing things by 2024/2025? I would not bet on it. Now, this has nothing to do with the quality of Avowed or Fable. If anything, I see them both being great, on account of the developers' pedigree...It is just a case of too little, too late, when it comes to eating at Sony marketshare. Hell, now you (MS) have ceded the first 9 months to your direct rival, while they (Sony) still have the "re-design (The PS5 was obviously built with cost cutting in mind) and the Spiderman bullets to clean house from October onwards. MS had a unique opportunity to shine because of how Covid impacted everybody, slowing down Sony and the PS in the process; That window has closed, unfortunately.