Definitely more likely to be delayed to 2022. I'm expecting a lot of delays over the next few weeks and months including but not limited to Crimson Desert, Dying Light 2, Elden Ring, Far Cry 6, God of War Ragnarok, Gotham Knights, Horizon 2 (as already mentioned), Prince of Persia The Sands of Time Remake and Starfield getting pushed into 2022.
2021 will be a weak year similar to that of 2014 but yet, still better than 2014. I'm also expecting a few months delay for Ratchet because it makes no sense for Sony to release it the day after FF7R for PS5 when they're paying Square Enix for timed/full exclusivity on the title.