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Microsoft / Activision Deal Approval Watch |OT| (MS/ABK close)

Do you believe the deal will be approved?


  • Total voters
    886
  • Poll closed .
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b6a6es

Banned
Single player games are a different beast imo. Microtransactions and season passes are big money makers for both COD multiplayer and free to play warzone.

Much less to be made off playstation consumers with single player games like Starfield and Elder Scrolls, which are IPs not even close to the cash cow that COD is. Likely more worth it financially to make those games subscription sellers.

I could very well be wrong, but I really don't see them making COD exclusive. I don't think it would make much sense financially.

Bookmarking this once Zenimax Online announces their New Title, and what platforms it’ll land on……
 

feynoob

Member
Not free but paying influencers like Colteastwood where the promotion seems like it's grassroots rather than spending money on billboards and TV ads.

An example of their attempt to build the brand globally through these 'social leaders'.
That kind of advertisement works on gamers due to social media.
Unlike games, gamepass needs mouth to mouth advertising and showcase on how good it is.

But that kind of marketing is limited to gamepass, and won't work very well with games and console advertisement.
 
Time to call Kaz in. He will save Sony.



Again.
you don't understand the situation.

Jim Ryan is about to become Super Saiyan.

remember that Jim took over Shawn. (who knows if it was really a power struggle or not).

then Jim made those weird statements about Europeans being in positions of power inside PlayStation.

Jim was CEO of the European Division; a territory where Play Station has as 80% of the market share or something crazy like that.

Jim becoming president and CEO is more than likely their last position before retiring, now with this Xbox power move his entire legacy and reputation is in jeopardy.
 

zapper

Member
They’re already locked into a deal with MS for cloud.

I feel like it's been quite a while since that deal was announced and it hasn't gotten much so far, with stadia shutting down and the activision/microsoft deal I think sony has no problem asking google
 

ManaByte

Gold Member
I feel like it's been quite a while since that deal was announced and it hasn't gotten much so far, with stadia shutting down and the activision/microsoft deal I think sony has no problem asking google
Really? The sort of improvements they get with Azure isn’t the sort of thing you’ll see like a streaming service. Stuff like the auto media upload to the PS App is from that.
 

Topher

Gold Member
They’re already locked into a deal with MS for cloud.

Last I remember reading there wasn't a deal, just a MOU to explore the possibility. Someone posted in this thread that Sony was actually using AWS for PS5. So I'm not sure where any of this stand myself.
 

DaGwaphics

Member
lol, very few indeed for under $10.

what about EA? would give sony a bunch of established and well known ip, including battlefield. it would be easier than creating their own fps from scratch. sony can massively grow the ip by actually making good games. EA have been awful for ages. they need a shakeup.

EA is probably the most worthless of publishers as far as exclusivity goes. Most of their content is licensed IPs where the IP holders would force cross platform support anyway. Literally almost nothing gained to anyone there.
 
Well honestly speaking looking at the uturn from the regulators its back to reality for people thinking Microsoft will face any real opposition from these regulatory bodies. They have too much pull and too many resources for the courts to truly regulate them...honestly its kind of embarrassing how quickly they went from divesting or nothing to we see no problem here at all:messenger_grinning_sweat:.

Sony were dealt a big blow here but the bigger issue is this basically gave Microsoft the go-ahead to go gungho. They have no opposition now before they were holding back because they were cautious regarding the regulatory bodies, but now they have the green light. They basically bought the biggest publisher in the world at an overinflated price which no competitor can hope to match and the regulators basically said this is healthy for competition. So essentially its open season now in Microsofts mind they can basically buy any of the major multiplatform publishers/studios and it wouldnt be much since the precedant has been set. If buying the biggest publisher right after zenimax is healthy for competition why would there be any problem when they buy others. Sony cant really compete in this arms race sadly since they cant afford to match bids here nor can they afford the giant publishers.

Lets say Sony are forced to contemplate buying Ea for example they have a market cap of 30+billion but will be forced to buy at at inflated price close to 40 which just isnt possible for them, meanwhile funnily enough the only ones in the market who can do so from now on are Microsoft so goodluck to Sony because sadly I just dont see them being able to keepup longterm with Ea/Activision/Taketwo games on gamepass. Imagine if Microsoft buys taketwo tommorow can you say with a straightface thats no problem and Sony can compete?

Im not a fanboy and enjoy games from all three of the console makers but people celebrating this as a short term win better keep that same energy after a generation when Microsoft has most major mainstream games locked behind gamepass where they start reving up the prices.
Then follows it up with "I'm not a fanboy..."

The mental gymnastics here astounds me sometimes. And they said I don't know about business... WOW!
 

Thirty7ven

Banned
EA is probably the most worthless of publishers as far as exclusivity goes. Most of their content is licensed IPs where the IP holders would force cross platform support anyway. Literally almost nothing gained to anyone there.

Actually aside from Madden and UFC there’s nothing that needs to be multiplatform. Even their football game is free of FIFA demands now. Need for speed? Battlefield? Mass Effect? Dragon Age? Even Star Wars doesn’t need to be multi.

Their football game would keep MS in check that’s for sure. If I was in their position and I had the means I would get EA. Will it happen? I’m sure it won’t because those folks in Japan don’t think there’s enough prestige in Playstation. How else can you justify a big push to take videogame IP to cinema and streaming, but there’s no push to take their movie/anime IP to PlayStation?
 

DryvBy

Member
Simple.
Xbox will become stronger and create more competition for Sony and we might end up with both selling 80 million consoles each rather than xbox selling 50 million and PlayStation 120 million. That's a good outcome for the industry.

Nintendo users will now get COD on their platform.

Nvidia just got a massive boost to their fledgling cloud service by having access to all Xbox, ABK and Bethesda games to their service. This along with the deals they signed with other streaming companies will create a ton more competition in the streaming industry.

MS now enters the mobile market and can bring alot more of their content to mobile phones. This will boost competition in that industry. There is also the fact that potentially MS is going to legally challenge the walled garden that is Android and IOS in court. More competition if they win.

It definitely creates more competition and there isn't a down side to it at all.

None of what you explained answered my question. I'm asking how does a company buying up brands to keep off of other brands bring more competition to the table and you're telling me about a Microsoft business plan. If this worked, we would have seen this happen with Bethesda. So why does Nintendo and Sony not have to buy entire publishers to compete against one of the richest companies in the entire world?

Remove your favorite brand for a moment. 7/11 starts buying up every gas station around, is this making it more competitive or is it removing options?
 

DaGwaphics

Member
Actually aside from Madden and UFC there’s nothing that needs to be multiplatform. Even their football game is free of FIFA demands now. Need for speed? Battlefield? Mass Effect? Dragon Age? Even Star Wars doesn’t need to be multi.

Their football game would keep MS in check that’s for sure. If I was in their position and I had the means I would get EA. Will it happen? I’m sure it won’t because those folks in Japan don’t think there’s enough prestige in Playstation. How else can you justify a big push to take videogame IP to cinema and streaming, but there’s no push to take their movie/anime IP to PlayStation?

I did forget about forget about all the console makers lining up to spend billions for Battlefield, Mass Effect and Dragon Age in 2023. My bad.

EA Sports is where EA money is printed, divest that and there isn't much left of EA to justify the money spent.
 

Three

Member
EA is probably the most worthless of publishers as far as exclusivity goes. Most of their content is licensed IPs where the IP holders would force cross platform support anyway. Literally almost nothing gained to anyone there.
I don't want anyone buying anyone but EA IPs are far from worthless. They have Apex Legends, Battlefield, NFS, Dead Space, The Sims, Dragon Age, Command and Conquer, It Takes Two as well as the licenced stuff like FIFA, NHL, NFL, NBA, Star Wars etc.
 

DaGwaphics

Member
I don't want anyone buying anyone but EA IPs are far from worthless. They have Apex Legends, Battlefield, NFS, Dead Space, The Sims, Dragon Age, Command and Conquer, It Takes Two as well as the licenced stuff like FIFA, NHL, NFL, NBA, Star Wars etc.

I wasn't belittling their content at all, just looking realistically at the numbers of it. EA without EA sports isn't worth the asking price, same as ABK without CoD.
 

HoofHearted

Member
wait for approval. Once they approve it, it will be a caravan of posts.
Lol… I think we are now in the “shock and awe“ phase of this deal… many are still processing that response.

The recent CMA reversal was somewhat surprising to me… before it was posted I was 50/50… now it’s appearing to be heading to approval…

I still don’t care though, and all of this chatter and bickering around a single game (that, IMHO, most likely will become irrelevant in 10 years time) is quite hilarious.

Gotta refill my bourbon supplies for the impending caravan …. ;)
 

POKEYCLYDE

Member
Yeah I'm done. Regulators are going to approve the deal with baby slaps worth of behavioral remedies. Microsoft will feel emboldened to make further large gaming publisher acquisitions. Other big tech companies will do the same. Sony and even Nintendo will need to make publisher acquisitions of their own now.

Love how regulators just signed a death warrant for the gaming market. All this mass consolidation is going to lead to another crash and unlike the "Atari" one, actually global and much bigger. We're going to get less games, not more. We're going to see content put in the vault to artificially boost value (just look at what Disney is doing today with so much of the Fox content they acquired), when we probably would have seen new installments in that content if those companies weren't acquired. Ironically, this is going to lead to more closed ecosystems, not open ones.

I would have been cool with at least a COD/Activision divestiture. I was never flat-out against the deal otherwise. But just wait until Microsoft starts violating these behavioral remedies and laughs away as they pay the fine...if they're even required to pay them. Oh well.

Welp gaming was a nice hobby to have while it lasted. But I don't see this industry not crashing and burning 10 years from now. Enjoy it while you can.
Damn, that is some doom and gloom. Microsoft was always going to keep acquiring even if this acquisition was blocked/required divestment of Activision.

I suspect you'll see Microsoft continue to do what they were always going to do. Getting ABK doesn't automatically change their focus to giant publishers. They'll go for the smaller publishers like they probably already had planned on.

Microsoft's future goals involve acquisitions. That fact alone will guarantee they won't violate any behavioral remedies they agree to.

As for your "content will be put in a vault" worry... that wasn't an issue when ABK was independently operated? They weren't solely focused on their few mega popular IP? Under Microsoft you'll at least have a better chance of IP revival and/or new IP in the AA space. As maximizing profit from singular releases isn't a priority.

Lets wait to see what consolidation woes come from the aftermath of this acquistion. Bearing in mind Microsoft said they weren't done acquiring, Sony said they weren't done acquiring, Tencent have always acquired whole companies or large stakes in companies.

If someone like Amazon, Facebook or Google goes for Take 2 or EA, then we can worry. But as of right now, the passing or blocking of ABK being acquired doesn't change the likely course of consolidation.
 

DaGwaphics

Member
Spencer has already said he wants to revive StarCraft and some of the old Sierra IPs.

ABK didn't even know they owned the Sierra IPs.

True. Plus any kind of doom and gloom surrounding an acquisition and buried IPs and publishers producing fewer games with a laser focus on big franchises completely ignores the last 10 to 15 years of AAA game production anyway. News flash, we've already been losing the IP diversity for years with origins in the ps360 gen. No acquisitions required for that.
 

ToadMan

Member
They already bought Bungie for $3B as a reactionary purchase.

Sony were in the negotiations with Bungie months before the ABK acquisition started.

Yet they were announced just days apart.
What truth? That even with MS owning Activision they won’t harm consumers?

It’ll be interesting to see how this plays out over the years and if GamePass increases in price substantially or if the quality and frequency of Activision content declines

Or if after 10 years Microsoft removes CoD from other platforms and makes it GP exclusive.

Funny how the regulators don’t see this as an option when Microsoft baited Sony to make a new CoD after 10 years

I don’t think MS will wait the 10 years. Assuming the 8 year console cycle is accurate, and if MS is able at the time, they’ll make COD exclusive to GP platforms at that time - 2028-ish - and if necessary pay damages for breaking the contracts they made.

The damages are just a band aid for the recipients, but the jump of new consumers from PS/Nintendo to GP platforms will be enough to warrant that maneuver.

If this acquisition goes ahead that is…
 

adamsapple

Or is it just one of Phil's balls in my throat?
I don’t think MS will wait the 10 years. Assuming the 8 year console cycle is accurate, and if MS is able at the time, they’ll make COD exclusive to GP platforms at that time - 2028-ish - and if necessary pay damages for breaking the contracts they made.

Why is everyone so quick to jump to this conclusion ? The regulatory bodies work doesn't stop after the acquisition is complete. They can break it up later as well.

Zenimax did not have any such requirement from any regulatory so it wasn't the same case, but with this so far it seems like a 10 year parity clause is MS's own offer to further the acquisition dealings along.

Why would they want to jeopardize the acquisition 3, 4, 6, or 8 years later ?
 

Three

Member
I wasn't belittling their content at all, just looking realistically at the numbers of it. EA without EA sports isn't worth the asking price, same as ABK without CoD.
You said they are worthless in terms of exclusivity. So would ABK be worthless without COD exclusive or would EA without EA Sports licences?

I would have thought things like The Sims, Battlefield, Apex Legends, NFS, and their other games wouldn't be that worthless to a potential buyer.
 

DaGwaphics

Member
You said they are worthless in terms of exclusivity. So would ABK be worthless without COD exclusive or would EA without EA Sports licences?

I would have thought things like The Sims, Battlefield, Apex Legends, NFS, and their other games wouldn't be that worthless to a potential buyer.

In comparison to the price paid? Sure. I don't see MS paying $70b for ABK and not getting CoD, which is why they laughed at that notion.

Same situation for EA and EA Sports. Those are all great games, but other than the Sims, those other IPs don't bring in that much of EA's revenue. The sales price would be far too high to divest the sports franchises. The only option would be to keep EA sports and keep it multi platform, but that doesn't do too much for exclusivity. Same as ABK is not going to do much for MS in regards to exclusivity because almost the entire company is a machine for CoD or PC/Mobile where exclusive isn't a thing anyway.

If someone just wanted to run EA with the status quo, sure it would be a good investment the company is profitable after all. But through an exclusivity lens it doesn't seem like a great deal.

Ubi would be a better target for exclusive content IMO.
 
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Spencer has already said he wants to revive StarCraft and some of the old Sierra IPs.

ABK didn't even know they owned the Sierra IPs.
He mentioned Spyro and Heretic as well.

As a kid growing up, I loved Heretic, but they'll have to do some serious revamping if they revive it; in it's original form, it's too much like Doom, the only difference being you're wielding a magic staff instead of a gun. To really differentiate from Doom, they'll have some work to do.

Personally, I find MS should really invest into more All-ages IPs, especially for kids. While Minecraft is a giant, it's still just Minecraft. I'd love to see a new Spyro and suped up Super Luck'y Tale II released on Nintendo's platform.
 

Kvally

Banned
Then Phil Spencer should make sure those contracts are in line with what he has stated publicly. It is up to him to keep his word.

Awkward John Krasinski GIF by Saturday Night Live
I suspect that if people feel Phil is lying then what is to say everyone here isn’t a liar as well. It seems that way to me.
 

splattered

Member
None of what you explained answered my question. I'm asking how does a company buying up brands to keep off of other brands bring more competition to the table and you're telling me about a Microsoft business plan. If this worked, we would have seen this happen with Bethesda. So why does Nintendo and Sony not have to buy entire publishers to compete against one of the richest companies in the entire world?

Remove your favorite brand for a moment. 7/11 starts buying up every gas station around, is this making it more competitive or is it removing options?

Yeah but Microsoft isn't buying up ALL the gas, just some of it. Plenty of fuel out there from other gas stations to go around :p Even if a handful of gas stations go out there and start buying other gas stations up and your town is left with only 3 or 4 gas station companies to choose from they still have to compete with each other. And this is the point that we usually see smaller gas stations start to crop up so now we have NEW hungry small business gas stations bringing competitive prices and newer ideas. Your welcome. hahah
 

Thirty7ven

Banned
I did forget about forget about all the console makers lining up to spend billions for Battlefield, Mass Effect and Dragon Age in 2023. My bad.

EA Sports is where EA money is printed, divest that and there isn't much left of EA to justify the money spent.

Divest what?

Their football game doesn’t have the FIFA license anymore, and Madden/F1 can keep being multiplatform. Football game too of course, but with the option to remove if MS removes COD.

Am I missing something here where it’s ok for COD to keep being multiplatform but somehow EA sports would have to be divested?

If the games keep being multiplatform then it’s ok right? That’s what everyone is saying about ABK including regulators. So you buy revenue, like MS is doing with ABK.
 
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poppabk

Cheeks Spread for Digital Only Future
For PlayStation gamers, it's a big loose
Yep they sure are loosing.
None of what you explained answered my question. I'm asking how does a company buying up brands to keep off of other brands bring more competition to the table and you're telling me about a Microsoft business plan. If this worked, we would have seen this happen with Bethesda. So why does Nintendo and Sony not have to buy entire publishers to compete against one of the richest companies in the entire world?

Remove your favorite brand for a moment. 7/11 starts buying up every gas station around, is this making it more competitive or is it removing options?
7/11 is a $40 billion dollar convenience store/gas station company that buys its gas from multiple $100s of billion dollar gas conglomerates who also sell their gas through their own exclusive partner gas stations. The more 7/11 buys up gas stations the more bargaining power they have with the much larger gas companies benefitting competition and helping reduce prices.
 
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Why is everyone so quick to jump to this conclusion ? The regulatory bodies work doesn't stop after the acquisition is complete. They can break it up later as well.

Zenimax did not have any such requirement from any regulatory so it wasn't the same case, but with this so far it seems like a 10 year parity clause is MS's own offer to further the acquisition dealings along.

Why would they want to jeopardize the acquisition 3, 4, 6, or 8 years later ?
I don't know what the future holds, but I do know, generally, businesses do what's best for business. Whatever MS deems is best for their Xbox goals (long-term) is what they'll do. What that is, is yet to be determined and can only really be determined by them.

That said, there are a few common sense things that seem glaring. Making CoD exclusive, to me, doesn't make a lot of sense. It never did. I think there's more money to be had by allowing everyone to buy it. That said, if it were me, while I'd make it accessible to everyone, Game Pass members would be getting all the treats (first access, first access to DLC, campaigns, exclusive DLC, etc). Maybe that was there plan all along (it seems the obvious way to go with this), but they had to make some changes on the fly, due to regulator concerns, and offer parity to everyone else. They can still perhaps offer "Day 1 on GamePass", while others get a normal release, but I'm not sure.

Apart from that though, people need to remember that it's not just IP MS will own; they'll have all of AKB resources and talented teams. You see, 10 years is a long-time in the gaming world; CoD may not even be as big or relevant 10 yrs from now (or, it could be bigger). No telling what the landscape will look like 10 yrs from now. But, with the resources and talent pool MS will have from this deal, I'm pretty sure they can and will release entirely new IPs...created, directed and managed by the same teams responsible for CoD success, and AKB general success. All they need is one of these new IP to be a huge success, and there's no stipulation that new (currently non-existent) IP have the same parity and multi-platform status. MS will play their hand as they see fit, when that time comes. It if it makes sense to keep things exclusive to Xbox and GamePass, they will do that. If it makes sense to release on all platforms, they will do that. If it makes sense for the business to release on all platforms, with exclusive content and Day-1 releases coming to GP (which to me, is the only obvious choice) they will do that.

In the end, this is not the end. This is what people don't realise; this is just the beginning for MS. They will continue to purchase developers. They may go after one or two more big publishers. They won't stop here. They have long-term plans of making their platform (GamePass, not just Xbox) into the premiere place for gaming, whether on a console, your phone, your TV, your laptop, tablet, browser... They don't care where you play, just that you play on their platform, and in order to play, you have to subscribe. That's all this is about...your money.

It's not and never was about "starving PS", or "taking away from PS". That's short-term thinking. Yes, PS is in their line of fire because PS is their number 1 competitor, but the vision isn't to destroy PS. If PS wasn't number one, it would be someone else. Their vision and goal, is to completely dominate the gaming market, for the sake of profit. They don't need you to stop gaming on Sony's platform, or to stop you from buying a PS. What they need is for PS buyers to ALSO be Xbox buyers or GamePass subscribers. What they need is people who play exclusively on Nintendo, to also be subscribed to GamePass, and playing there.

They could care less about another company's financials. They don't need the other companies to fail. What they need is for the people who play exclusively on other platforms, to also become customers of MS/Xbox. And that is how I know, that while they're offering access to everyone, right now, they will do everything in their power to better their GP offerings to entice people who aren't subscribed, to subscribe and keep renewing their subscriptions.
 

poppabk

Cheeks Spread for Digital Only Future
Divest what?

Their football game doesn’t have the FIFA license anymore, and Madden/F1 can keep being multiplatform. Football game too of course, but with the option to remove if MS removes COD.

Am I missing something here where it’s ok for COD to keep being multiplatform but somehow EA sports would have to be divested?

If the games keep being multiplatform then it’s ok right? That’s what everyone is saying about ABK including regulators. So you buy revenue, like MS is doing with ABK.
Ex-Fifa football game has about a hundred other licenses that you would have to overcome to make it exclusive. But I don't think you would need to divest, the requirement to not foreclose is built in to their biggest titles.
 

Dick Jones

Gold Member
Why is everyone so quick to jump to this conclusion ? The regulatory bodies work doesn't stop after the acquisition is complete. They can break it up later as well.

Zenimax did not have any such requirement from any regulatory so it wasn't the same case, but with this so far it seems like a 10 year parity clause is MS's own offer to further the acquisition dealings along.

Why would they want to jeopardize the acquisition 3, 4, 6, or 8 years later ?
Because, according to the dev for Redfall, MS didn't wait a month until they wanted the PS5 version shitcanned. This was after their statements to regulators to the contrary, and the public statements by Phil Spencer that it was not bought to take games away from Playstation. This happened this console generation. Xbox management have lied before and it would take proof of keeping their word before they regain any trust.
 

reksveks

Member
Re EA, I know that a sizable chunk of thier revenue is mtx so assuming it's FUT and the Madden version.

I would wonder two things:
- would ea under Sony want to give an potential publishers the ability to have a competitor across all platforms? One that could maybe get the fifa ip and match the club rights?
- would Madden be another MLB? Which is fine really but still interesting to think about.
 

Snake29

RSI Employee of the Year
Once MS owns enough, the games will come. We are already seeing this happening this year.

Aah hahahaha. So this is about owning all major IP’s isn’t it? How many years do we hear the words “once MS has bla bla bla”.

You are fooling yourself. Didn’t you learned that at the start of this gen MS was chestbeating? 3 years later, nothing has materialised.
 

Tomeru

Member
you don't understand the situation.

Jim Ryan is about to become Super Saiyan.

remember that Jim took over Shawn. (who knows if it was really a power struggle or not).

then Jim made those weird statements about Europeans being in positions of power inside PlayStation.

Jim was CEO of the European Division; a territory where Play Station has as 80% of the market share or something crazy like that.

Jim becoming president and CEO is more than likely their last position before retiring, now with this Xbox power move his entire legacy and reputation is in jeopardy.



Once MS owns enough, the games will come. We are already seeing this happening this year.

When will it be enough?
 
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Aah hahahaha. So this is about owning all major IP’s isn’t it? How many years do we hear the words “once MS has bla bla bla”.

You are fooling yourself. Didn’t you learned that at the start of this gen MS was chestbeating? 3 years later, nothing has materialised.
I think the games are already coming. Their first party quality this gen has been a big step up vs last gen. 11 first party games since the new consoles launched, with an average aggregate review score of 86.6. Which is in the top 5%
 

feynoob

Member
Sony needs to overcome the new market definition first, if they want to buy a major publishers.

Right now the market definition is Xbox vs Sony, not Xbox vs Sony vs Nintendo.

That means Japan would block any major purchase by Sony.

Isn't that right R reksveks ?
 

zapper

Member
Why is everyone so quick to jump to this conclusion ? The regulatory bodies work doesn't stop after the acquisition is complete. They can break it up later as well.

Zenimax did not have any such requirement from any regulatory so it wasn't the same case, but with this so far it seems like a 10 year parity clause is MS's own offer to further the acquisition dealings along.

Why would they want to jeopardize the acquisition 3, 4, 6, or 8 years later ?

well, according to the latest reports both the ec and the cma shouldn't ask for remedies on consoles, so after the acquisition they could also make xbox exclusive cod the next day, like zenimax.
there would be the contract with nintendo which, however, I fear will not legally bound by the regulators after yesterday. then I always thought of a snub from nintendo towards sony rather than wanting cod on switch, if it doesn't arrive on switch or next nintendo console or microsoft go back on their word hardly anyone would complain imho
 
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