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Or is it just one of Phil's balls in my throat?
Because, according to the dev for Redfall, MS didn't wait a month until they wanted the PS5 version shitcanned. This was after their statements to regulators to the contrary, and the public statements by Phil Spencer that it was not bought to take games away from Playstation. This happened this console generation. Xbox management have lied before and it would take proof of keeping their word before they regain any trust.
Phil's PR aside, if the 10 year is a mandatory requirement for the deal to go through then there is nothing else MS can do. Like how Sony has to make MLB games for Xbox when they would very likely rather not.