DriftingSpirit
Member
I'm just asking because I have seen posts suggesting SFV is going to be a complete bomb. Others just seems to think it will just be an underwhelming launch but not necessarily a complete bomb.
I think it'll do fine though.
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NPD Sales Results for January 2016
- Thread starter Nirolak
- Start date
I think it'll do fine though.
Blackleg-sanji1
Banned
Hmm really? I highly doubt it. Previews have been positive, its a new sf, it'll do fine
FullMetaltech
Member
My guess is COD is number one next month followed by SF5 and GTA5.
With CoD maps out i can see it keeping 1st to SF5.
With CoD maps out i can see it keeping 1st to SF5.
slavesnyder
Member
Online gaming does not interest me in the least, so this slipped me. But now that you mention it I remember reading of it.
I hope it's good and successful. Capcom needs and deserves some love and money for it.
Dragon's Dogma is such a nice game and a terrible time sink. Maybe I will write my first LTTP about it when I advanced a little more.
Welfare
Member
I'm thinking the top 3 will be Far Cry Primal, SFV, and CoD.
Also I'm lowering what I think SVF will do to around 550k
Street Fighter V, Far Cry Primal, and Fire Emblem Fates should all chart in February.
Digimon, I doubt it (though it'd be nice).
550k seems a bit high for Street Fighter. How did IV launch?
Digimon, I doubt it (though it'd be nice).
550k seems a bit high for Street Fighter. How did IV launch?
It was at about 500K a few years ago and is at 670K now, but it had a free weekend so it might be mildly inflated from people who never logged into Steam again after playing it during said weekend.
I imagine cross play will help though.
I'm not so sure about Fire Emblem depends on how different SKU will be counted.
Nintendo systems are doing so poorly that maybe NoA gave up of talk about NPD.
slavesnyder
Member
Or NPD gave up to talk about Nintendo.
Welfare
Member
Street Fighter IV on the 360 did 446K and 403K on the PS3 in February 2009.
Npd or ww.
Welfare
Member
NPD of course.
Anton Sugar
Member
Omnistalgic
Member
Sucks, big reason I come to GAF
SFV will be fine I think, should have strong digital sales.
opticalmace
Member
Is the Witness in the January NPD period? Or Feb?
Street date broken in some places like Austria and the Middle East.
Neither. It's a digital game.
I've read all the past pages, and...yes: you can't just reduce the success / insuccess of a platform to a single, specific factor / series of factors. It's an exaggerated oversimplification of what actually consists of several factors / types of factors that, all together, influence the market way more than each of them individually. Saying that PS4's success in US is only due to Microsoft initial fuck-ups is wrong. Or better, it brings down the conversation to a way too immature level, discussion-wise. Now, saying that PS4's success has been influenced (even majorly) by MS's fuck-ups is a much better and more correct statement. Insuccesses of some parties surely create advantages, windows of opportunities for other parties, but it's also true that those other parties who have the chance to gain important shares of a market must act accordingly, put into work the right strategy to hit the market and really take the opportunities in the best way possible. And Sony, more or less, is doing that. It's true, first party exclusive titles have been slow to come so far (even if 2016 seems to be - thanks to delays too, but still - a good year on that front), but Sony acted with third party partnerships / exclusives / first on games, good / great advertising, quite laser-focused on the YMA audience to be honest, right against the same audience MS is trying to go for. Also, it's a pity to see not so much focus on other audiencies, and I think this could hurt them - as well as the rest of the "traditional" industry - in the long run; or, better put, it could harm their chances to reach even bigger installed basee / software sales, but the recent LEGO exclusive content are a start of some sort, and it's undeniable that, while very laser-focused, Sony efforts have been very good and more varied than MS's efforts (yep, the total amount of games and wide catalogue of genres and styles matter, after all). In the same way, 360's big success in US wasn't just due to Sony's fuckups. Or Nintendo's major failure with Wii U isn't only to pin on Apple's ability to steal the audience from Nintendo. Successes and insuccesses depend on several reasons, of different kinds.
Also, CosmicQueso's post was illuminating. MS's earlier plans for DRMs and used games were already very confused, but the fact not even a big part of 3rd parties and retailers were informed before the official announcement is shocking. The success really got in their heads, and they got a deserved negative response for both the way they delivered the message and what the message was, after all.
Also, CosmicQueso's post was illuminating. MS's earlier plans for DRMs and used games were already very confused, but the fact not even a big part of 3rd parties and retailers were informed before the official announcement is shocking. The success really got in their heads, and they got a deserved negative response for both the way they delivered the message and what the message was, after all.
I don't want to comment that much on Muclair/other relevant past users' drama. I'll just say that I'm...not that happy (yeah, let's say so), going by what I've read as explanation of what happened, and for several reasons. Nothing else. 
Oh, they're going to ship 2 million worldwide regardless. If there's any franchise Capcom is not afraid of stuffing the channel with it's SF. That's how the 3DS version ended up with such high sales in the end.
Obliterator
Member
I still as now put SFVs top end for sales at about 500k
opticalmace
Member
Ohh, didn't realize it was digital only. Thanks.
If division ends up being super successful (which I imagine it will be) I could see EA and other developers start pushing that genre.
I wouldn't be surprised if EA did a Destiny/Division style of game with the Mass Effect IP.
I'd be pretty surprised if m&L couldn't get the 10 spot in January but Digimon does in a stronger February?
Aren't sf, far cry, and uncharted coming out? Wait is uncharted February?
Maybe a better question is if FE will chart? Even then I'm not sure.
Most people bought PS3 & Xbox 360 just a few years before Xbox One & PS4 released & Microsoft MAU numbers show that there is still a lot of people still using Xbox Live on Xbox 360 because it's only ~19 million Xbox Ones on the market but 48 million MAU. remember that not all Xbox One & Xbox 360 gamers are connected to the internet so that 48 million is just a % of the Xbox 360 gamers still using the console.
PS4 & Xbox One have already sold ~ 60 million in just over 2 years that's over 1/3 of the Xbox 360 + PS3 user base already & over 1/2 of the Xbox 360 & PS3 user base came in the 3 years before the new consoles was released so I doubt if 1/3 of the Xbox 360/PS3 user base have moved on already when 1/2 of them just bought the Xbox 360/PS3.
It's some people who really believe that Microsoft is responsible for PS4 success even though it has already sold about 1/2 of what Xbox 360 sold the whole last generation. There is also people who think that most of the 100 million Wii owners just rode off into the sunset & are not buying any other consoles.
Blackleg-sanji1
Banned
Uncharted is april.
February has-
Digimon cs
SfV
Far cry primal
PvsZ2
Neptunia 7
Am i missing any retail?
Edit: O naruto uns4 this one is definitely charting
Oh thought it was February for some reason. Did it get delayed?
Is Naruto a lock to chart? Does it usually? Well I guess it depends on what the likely cutoff for 10 place is for February.
Blackleg-sanji1
Banned
Naruto is definitely charting. Only thing on my list not locked is digimon and Neptunia
spatenfloot
Member
So he favors one console, so what? That isn't surprising or even a detriment to lively debate. You are making too much of it.
Primethius
Banned
That would be a pretty good result I think. I'm pegging it much lower actually, 350-400k about.
With digital and PC, they should easily reach thier target.
ninjablade
Banned
dude you're really reaching now, ps3 has always sold much faster then 360, the only reason it kept up with cause it got a huge boost from kinect. don't forget ps3 also launched late in europe, missing the holiday's in it's best selling region, and it was way over priced so many people wanting a playstation console waited till the price was reasonable. really though ps3 and 360 are 8 years old, there ancient tech, and the age that most people are tech savvy, and people upgrade there phone every year, why are you surprised that there was so much pent up demand for new consoles. consoles are selling as the same pace as the ps2 era, what's so astonishing about that?
small44
Member
Does Xbox live allow more than 1 account for persons and I don't think it's weird that people play both old consoles and new consoles.And last post explained why current gen sale is higher than then last gen.
It's not possible that Wii gamers went to PS4,if it was the case we would see casuals games selling very well on PS4.
joecanada
Member
Yes this pretty much sums it up. My point still stands that Sony has achieved fairly consistent sales all along, so far ps3 is a slight downward blip if anything. Competition from 360 and Wii together with high price probably accounted for some of that, but it's pretty stable sales over a long period. Ps4 sales aren't really an anomaly if you look over time
harrisk954
Member
Isn't The Witness digital only? If so, I don't think it will be tracked on NPD.
Like I said over half of the Xbox 360 & PS3 user base came from 2010 to 2013 so the wait for PS4 & Xbox One wasn't that long for them & they haven't all rushed out to get the new consoles. The people buying PS4 is not just Xbox 360 & PS3 owners who wanted a new console.
Seeing that the Wii came out almost 10 years ago & people don't stick to the same type of games as they get older. Also just because you played Just Dance or whatever when you had a Wii don't mean that's what you're going to play when you have a PS4.
"When in Rome, do as the Romans do"
Primethius
Banned
I have a really tough time seeing that. The reviews are going to be pretty brutal for the game too.
DriftingSpirit
Member
Why do you say that?
gundamkyoukai
Member
I don't think reviews going to matter than much .
Still even if SFV don't open that big i expect to have a good legs on DD.
Over the years .
ethomaz
Banned
Thank you for the very enlightening information.
It's all so crazy. It's like they were interrupted in the middle of a spitballing session and decided to just announce the leading idea that was on the whiteboard at the time.
I think this lends even more credence to the then commonly held belief that there was in fact no family sharing plan in place.
Primethius
Banned
Game is lacking in content compared to other fighting games. The roll-out plan isn't really going to do the game favors unless reviewers re-review it at a later date (and I don't even think that has much of an impact on sales).
For sure. Doubt it effects the core at all. I suppose with SFV, we'll see how big the core truly is.
I'm pegging it at mid 70's personally.
With a game like this, the actual gameplay is irrelevant to most reviewers (lets be honest, who actually trusts reviewers to review fighting games?) It's all about content and SFV appeals to the online warrior/core crowd with it's feature set.
StrongBlackVine
Banned
Based on what? Lack of a few modes at launch? Reviews are going to be very positive based on the media coverage I have been seeing.
Edit - just saw your reasoning. You're crazy...and wrong. Mid 80s at worst.
Primethius
Banned
Maybe it's the pessimist in me. I pretty much see reviewers comparing SFV to MKX and roasting it alive.
Gameplay be damned these days. But honestly, I don't expect good reviews to move much of SFV either way.
Edit: In regards to your edit, I'd love to be wrong.