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Stock-Age: Stocks, Options and Dividends oh my!

godhandiscen

There are millions of whiny 5-year olds on Earth, and I AM THEIR KING.
Mar 15, 2007
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I think tesla is going to test the upper residtance trend line ($1k or so) before we get a significant pullback. Many shorts that followed michael scammer burry are still trapped and marketing like crazy to get the price down, they will give up soon and squeeze us up.
I laughed at “Michael Scammer Burry”. I like the guy. I just feel that he’s fallen for the social media trap. He is clearly addicted to the attention and that is clouding his judgement. The worst was when he claimed being bearish on Bitcoin without adopting a position.
 
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Fools idol

Member
Aug 24, 2021
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I laughed at “Michael Scammer Burry”. I like the guy. I just feel that he’s fallen for the social media trap. He is clearly addicted to the attention and that is clouding his judgement. The worst was when he claimed being bearish on Bitcoin without adopting a position.
guy is so far gone off the deep end, no idea what happenned. His twitter feed devolved into some serious antivax / conspiracy / tin foil hat shit in the past year or so, guy totally lost his shit.
 
Oct 26, 2018
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Forget it I'm not taking the dip on PHUN. Tempting. At $9. Was thinking 1000 shares. Nah. PHUN and DWAC not doing much today so far.
 

godhandiscen

There are millions of whiny 5-year olds on Earth, and I AM THEIR KING.
Mar 15, 2007
15,823
4,914
1,765
I am glad I shaved my position with AMZN. They aren’t doing anything for a bit. I bet it will only pick up after the holiday earnings and they demonstrate the inflation boost on common goods.
 

Goalus

Member
Mar 5, 2017
606
598
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I am glad I shaved my position with AMZN. They aren’t doing anything for a bit. I bet it will only pick up after the holiday earnings and they demonstrate the inflation boost on common goods.
I mean... if Bezos and his ex-wife keep on selling shares like there's no tomorrow, the price will not break out of the current trading range any time soon. On the plus side, the company will thereby slowly "grow" into its valuation. When the PE ratio falls below 30, there WILL be a reaction.
 

godhandiscen

There are millions of whiny 5-year olds on Earth, and I AM THEIR KING.
Mar 15, 2007
15,823
4,914
1,765
I mean... if Bezos and his ex-wife keep on selling shares like there's no tomorrow, the price will not break out of the current trading range any time soon. On the plus side, the company will thereby slowly "grow" into its valuation. When the PE ratio falls below 30, there WILL be a reaction.
I wasn't aware of that happening. Is that what is happening right now?

I see some articles from a while ago, but nothing recent. You must be right, but I wonder how to get this information. I checked Whale wisdom, and the last 13G he filed was in 2020.

It is here. It seems he is selling a lot of them like you said. He has sold ~3 million shares in a year, while institutions buy about ~2 million shares in a quarter. No wonder, thank you for highlighting this.

 
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Goalus

Member
Mar 5, 2017
606
598
400
I wasn't aware of that happening. Is that what is happening right now?

I see some articles from a while ago, but nothing recent. You must be right, but I wonder how to get this information. I checked Whale wisdom, and the last 13G he filed was in 2020.

It is here. It seems he is selling a lot of them like you said. He has sold ~3 million shares in a year, while institutions buy about ~2 million shares in a quarter. No wonder, thank you for highlighting this.

To be honest I haven't checked recently, but as far as I understand he needs to fund his rocket company and usually sells large amounts right after earnings reports. That's part of the reason why the price has been stagnating, even when the numbers delivered.
 
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Oct 26, 2018
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Bought Docebo a week ago. Made a quick $1400 (200 shares x $7). Im out. Should had been more as my share order got partially filled when I bought it, then I cancel the remaining partial order. Should had been $2100.
 
Oct 26, 2018
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Good stuff for all you Tesla bums! I'd never have balls to buy a stock at $500+ US, where there's always articles about Tesla being way overvalued and hyped up.

But for you guys who made some cash. Good shit! Ka-ching!
 
Oct 26, 2018
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Made money twice on AMC. Bothe buying around $35 and dumping between $42-45. It's at $36 again. If it drops a couple more $, I'm diving in a third time.

Intel at $48. I'm in if it keeps dropping to $45.
 
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Mar 23, 2013
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I have a couple $150 Jan AAPL calls I bought like a month ago. I'm up 20-30% now. Not sure if I should sell before earnings? I know IV crush is a thing post earnings but would that affect my calls since they don't expire until the end of Jan?
 

GHG

Member
Nov 9, 2006
26,833
42,145
1,995
I have a couple $150 Jan AAPL calls I bought like a month ago. I'm up 20-30% now. Not sure if I should sell before earnings? I know IV crush is a thing post earnings but would that affect my calls since they don't expire until the end of Jan?

What was the IV when you bought them? That's what you need to keep track of so that you can see what impact (if any) the upcoming earnings has had on their value.
 
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GHG

Member
Nov 9, 2006
26,833
42,145
1,995
crazepharmacist crazepharmacist just had a quick check and the elevated IV seems to be confined to the nearest dated expiration cycles in the next couple of weeks:












37.7% for this week vs 23% for the January monthlies. From Nov 19th onwards the IV seems to normalise between 22.5 and 23%.

But really it's something you need to note down when executing your options order because IV changes on a day to day basis based on the conditions of the market at the time you make your transaction. General rule for IV is to buy when it's low and sell when it's high.
 
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godhandiscen

There are millions of whiny 5-year olds on Earth, and I AM THEIR KING.
Mar 15, 2007
15,823
4,914
1,765
TSLA gains are offsetting my loss in the NET correction. I bought more NET.
 

Fools idol

Member
Aug 24, 2021
244
316
270
I used some of the profits in tesla and cloudflare to buy virgin galactic at the low of 17.9 ish today. A risky stock for long term however amazing for swing trading / bounces. I reckon I will net a good 10-20% gain in a few weeks as long as nothing catastrophic happens in the overall market. It really feels like capitulation on this one at this level.
 

Fools idol

Member
Aug 24, 2021
244
316
270
Twilio has just got destroyed after what I can only describe as a fantastic earnings.

I will almost certainly be buying shares once the dust settles. It's no Cloudflare but it is a good company for the long haul. I was in from $45 all the way up to $250 and regretted selling so if we get that 250-300 range again I will be buying both fists and never selling.
 

zeorhymer

Member
Nov 9, 2013
4,379
4,682
915
San Francisco, CA
Twilio has just got destroyed after what I can only describe as a fantastic earnings.

I will almost certainly be buying shares once the dust settles. It's no Cloudflare but it is a good company for the long haul. I was in from $45 all the way up to $250 and regretted selling so if we get that 250-300 range again I will be buying both fists and never selling.
Holy cow...they just took a plunge of 100 points. What is going on with them?

Edit: I see now. They lowered the guidance. Probably spooked everyone, but it's still strange that a lot of institutions still bought into it.
 
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Fools idol

Member
Aug 24, 2021
244
316
270
Holy cow...they just took a plunge of 100 points. What is going on with them?

Edit: I see now. They lowered the guidance. Probably spooked everyone, but it's still strange that a lot of institutions still bought into it.
I suspect that wallst was expecting a profit this quarter. The CEO mentioned on previous earnings calls that they would turn a profit in 2021, give or take, so the stock selling off seems to reflect that disappointment.

I personally think they should not worry about profits until that monster revenue growth shows signs of slowing down. Right now things look rosy long term for them.
 
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godhandiscen

There are millions of whiny 5-year olds on Earth, and I AM THEIR KING.
Mar 15, 2007
15,823
4,914
1,765
Apple and Amazon taking a hit off the supply chain issues impacting their forecast for Q4.
I should have sold more AMZN. I don’t mind taking the hit on Apple.
 
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Oct 26, 2018
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Solid start to the trading week Back to ATH. Took months to get back. My ATH was in Aug. And I think maybe in June too. I forget. Clawed back.
 
Oct 26, 2018
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AABB is on fire lately. AABB Exchange coming soon
I wouldnt mind taking a dip on risky shit, but a couple years ago my RRSP and TFSA accounts changed policy and dont allow me to buy OTC stocks. I tried years back. I'm positive I bought some 10 year ago. But maybe that was in my old non-registered account.
 
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chromhound

Member
Jan 17, 2017
485
444
375
I wouldnt mind taking a dip on risky shit, but a couple years ago my RRSP and TFSA accounts changed policy and dont allow me to buy OTC stocks. I tried years back. I'm positive I bought some 10 year ago. But maybe that was in my old non-registered account.
i think it's only Margin account that can buy OTC
 
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Jan 2, 2011
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Is there any real reason to believe GME will stay over $200 this time? I'm having trouble finding a reason not to just keep trading this as it goes to $220 and then falls to $170 rinse and repeat every time.
 
Oct 26, 2018
22,532
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Is there any real reason to believe GME will stay over $200 this time? I'm having trouble finding a reason not to just keep trading this as it goes to $220 and then falls to $170 rinse and repeat every time.
AMC at $40-ish and GME at $200-ish have had amazing lasting appeal all year. I keep thinking one of these days the meme ride is over and they drop to $10.

I've been riding AMC a third time now (bought last week) as I noticed it rides a $35 to $45, back down to $35 band since the summer. If it creeps back to $40+, I'm out.

I've done similar to Blackberry. I get in at $13 CDN, hope it rides to $17-20 on a crazy meme week and dump it. Made money twice and hoping a third time back in at $13.
 
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Oct 26, 2018
22,532
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Intel bottomed at $48 during the past week of dumpsville. Almost back to $50. Might pull the trigger tomorrow as a long term play, or a flip if it spikes back to $60 as a 20% gainer in the next month or two.

This has been a dead stock for 4 years. It was in the high $40s in Q4 2017.
 

GHG

Member
Nov 9, 2006
26,833
42,145
1,995
With Paypal bailing on Pinterest, PINS is now down to $44. Worth a dip? Or stay away? I'm tempted at $40.

PayPal is the better buy at these levels.

I struggle to see where pintrest go in the future unless they overhaul/evolve their platform. So until that happens I'd stay away.

Wait until after earnings though to enter a position on either if you're going to. This earnings season in particular has been unforgiving.
 
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zeorhymer

Member
Nov 9, 2013
4,379
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San Francisco, CA
PayPal is the better buy at these levels.

I struggle to see where pintrest go in the future unless they overhaul/evolve their platform. So until that happens I'd stay away.

Wait until after earnings though to enter a position on either if you're going to. This earnings season in particular has been unforgiving.
Oh my. Paypal has been in a decline. Not sure if it'll stop at the 225 resistance marker.
 
Oct 26, 2018
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AMC up big after hours. Will dump at $45-ish if it hits that. Will be third time making money on it doing the exact same trading band ($35 buy + sell at $42-45) all being lucky 1-2 week flips.
 
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Oct 26, 2018
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Other stocks I might get back into are Grocery Outlet and Utz Chips.

Made good money twice on GO, and I missed out on UTZ barely making anything and then that fucking stock zoomed to $30.

But both cratered this year where both are at or below their IPO prices from a year or two ago. GO at $21 and UTZ at $16.

If GO can rebound to $30 and UTZ to low $20s I'm out.

My short term radar is:

- hope AMC goes up a bit more and dump
- Look into Intel, GO and UTZ