I don't think it will, but part of me would find it hilarious to open higher than Resurgence, so sure, why not.
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Wkd BO 624-2616 - ID4:2 & Deadpool bump (lol) not enough; Dory just keeps swimming~
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I don't think it will, but part of me would find it hilarious to open higher than Resurgence, so sure, why not.
Freeza Under The Shower
Member
well, in the previous thread I sided with the bet that Independence Day 2 would do the same weekend numbers as Suicide Squad. Having seen one of the two, and despite still thinking that SS will be a relative flop compared to other comic book movies, I regret everything about wanting ID2 to do well.
Thankfully that Cameron interview was lovely.
Thankfully that Cameron interview was lovely.
vinnygambini
Why are strippers at the U.N. bad when they're great at strip clubs???
You know whats up.
Nope. I'm thinking $25-$30 mil.
Pop-O-Matic
Banned
I'm going to go the opposite direction and predict sub-$10M.
I love The Lost World right up to the point where the girl did gymnastics to fight a dinosaur.
TS3's second Tuesday was down from Monday. Dory went up $4M?
ViewtifulJC
Banned
lawd these reviews about this creatively dismal big budget snorefest
This summer movie season has been...almost unbelievably bad. Just a parade of giant misfires. Even Pixar's sequel hasn't inspired much passion in me, like they were 7/10 at best. But in a summer with junk like Alice, X-Men, Resurgence, Tarzan, Warcraft, TMNT2 hogging up cinema screens, even just being merely "good" feels like a minor miracle.
And we still got Toy Story with dogs that looks like one joke expanded to 90 minutes, another fuckin' Ice Age movie in the year 2016, Ben-Hur, a Ghostbusters rehash, whatever this Pete's Dragon shit is, more lazily constructed comedies seemingly every other week...
Christ I hope Jason Bourne is very good. I'd like at least ONE of these so-called blockbusters to be something dope I can return to in the future.
Cheap Tuesdays seem massive in recent months. Now you see me 2 went up 53%. The Shallows had the worst increase in the top 10 and even that was 28%.
Tuesday Numbers
Finding Dory - $14.7M - $311M
Independence Day Resurgence- $5.1M - $50M total
Central Intelligence - $3.3M - $75M total
The Shallows - $3.0M - $22M total
Dory is already ahead of Civil War after 12 days. Civil War's second Tuesday was $5.9M. Dory was almost $9M higher. Actually, Dory made more on its second Tuesday than Civil War did on its first.
Dory's second Tuesday was the third biggest of all time behind The Force Awakens and Avatar.
Dory's second Tuesday was the third biggest of all time behind The Force Awakens and Avatar.
Vault Dweller 111
Member
So Dory a lock for 3rd week in a row at the top? Or will BFG snag it?
BronsonLee
Member
I have to imagine they do Finding Marlin at this point
Dory should take the weekend.
Vault Dweller 111
Member
I was pleased that Dory seemed like a story they actually wanted to tell, and wasn't just a cash grab (Although I'm sure the guaranteed cash didn't hurt.)
Finding Marlin on the other hand...
Dory spoilers -
They have a whole gang now after Bailey, Destiny, and Hank joined the group (also Dory's parents). I see a group adventure of some sort.
Worldwide OW maybe.
Summer legs - especially for a movie geared at kids - are going to be MASSIVE. $525M possible??
Discotheque
Banned
Bourne trailers aint doing much for me but yeah that's the one great hope action-wise for the summer.
BFG (or Tarzan) would have to drastically overperform the current expectations to take #1. Dory has #1 locked up until Secret Life of Pets next week.
Nah, Purge 3 gonna shock da whirl!
It's not impossible that it takes #2 for the weekend, which would be hilarious.
Gordon Shumway
Banned
That title..
Boxoffice.com is predicting the following 4day July 4th Weekend takes:
1) Finding Dory - $50M
2) The Purge: Election Year - $30M
3) Independence Day Resurgence - $22M
4) The Legend of Tarzan - $21.5M
5) The BFG - $19.5M
Good for The Purge if in the right ballpark. Bombs away for the other two openers.
1) Finding Dory - $50M
2) The Purge: Election Year - $30M
3) Independence Day Resurgence - $22M
4) The Legend of Tarzan - $21.5M
5) The BFG - $19.5M
Good for The Purge if in the right ballpark. Bombs away for the other two openers.
BronsonLee
Member
Fucking hell BFG bombin
Escape Goat
Member
NealMcCauley
Member
Damn that BFG estimate.
Sibersk Esto
Banned
Sorry Speilberg.
RastaMentality
Banned
I wonder if Spielberg's really lost his magic 
did people think it was going to be a hit?
Escape Goat
Member
I dont know what BFG is.
bananafactory
Banned
The best gun in DOOM
Tarzan not even 20 for the three days weekend.
BFG bombing even harder is something though. China likes weird-looking shit, maybe they will save it!
Tarzan looks like a shitty movie from every trailer I have seen, and the 44 on Metacritic/28% on RT doesn't do much to dissuade that notion. There's no great love of Tarzan to counterbalance that in the minds of moviegoers.
The Disney film did well almost 2 decades ago, but at the time, every feature from Disney was doing well.
No way do they fuck that up.
BronsonLee
Member
That was all because of Phil Collins
metalslimer
Member
Is Disney making their own Tarzan movie? The ads for this one have been terrible. Of course this is coming from someone that loved the Disney interpretation.
BFG is not on the schedule yet. I am not sure if it will be one of the quota films in China, given how many films Disney has already had out this year there (Star Wars, Zootopia, The Jungle Book, Civil War, Alice, and Finding Dory). China only allows 34 revenue sharing import films (mostly from hollywood) a year. Disney can't have them all. I assume that Doc Strange and Moana will be taking up two more spots, so that's already 8 from Disney.
Speaking of which, WB is wasting one of those 34 spots on Tarzan, as they did with Pan and Jupiter Ascending last year.
Dr. Zoidberg
Member
Maybe it's time for a period of back-to-basics, grounded dramas with serious tones and mature themes. Sort've like many 70s movies.
Yeah, that's when I mentally checked out of that movie. It could not recover from that bullshit scene. So, so awful.
They still make tons of those. However, almost all of them crowd up the October to January (with limited release in December!) schedule in hopes of being noticed by awards committees.
I do wish Hollywood would start to spread their shit out more. Before The Free State of Jones, when is the last time we had a wide release for adults (IE not counting R-rated films aimed squarely at 17-22 year olds in high school/college)? The Good Guys?
Right now we have to wait a month or more between releases, but come November they will be cramming 1 to 3 of them in every weekend.
EDIT: The inverse is true with bigger budget action films. If you wanted to scratch that itch between Deadpool and BvS (5-6 weeks later) your choices were the winning trio of Gods of Egypt, London has Fallen, and Divergent 3.
It makes more sense for Warners to release something, anything, in that slot rather than leave it 'empty' and risk having one less release slot for the following year.
I know that the long term aim is to grow their Chinese venture Flagship so that it can try and release more of its films outside of the annual 34 cap by classing them as co-pros.
But that's still some way off from coming to fruition.
Besides..., I suspect that WB are hoping that China can help 'save' Tarzan just like it 'saved' Pacific Rim.
AmaterasuOni
Banned
How the hell Central Intelligence has 66% RT? It's one of the worst movies I've seen in few years. I laughed zero times. I smiled few times because it made me feel uncomfortable in a bad way.
And I saw even worse movie today. It's coming out soon. Embargo until next Wednesday. What a Summer.
And I saw even worse movie today. It's coming out soon. Embargo until next Wednesday. What a Summer.
How the hell Central Intelligence has 66% RT? It's one of the worst movies I've seen in few years. I laughed zero times. I smiled few times because it made me feel uncomfortable in a bad way.
And I saw even worse movie today. It's coming out soon. Embargo until next Wednesday. What a Summer.
Is it a big/significant movie?
Even if it wasn't possible to get a cut of Mad Max past censorship (I'm not sure that they even tried), WB could have released Creed or even The Man From U.N.C.L.E. in China if they needed to hold onto their slots.
I suppose that your point about them hoping that China would salvage the overseas run of some of these films has some merit though, even if Pan managed to gross all of $5M or so in China.
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