holy shit.... not ONCE is it mentioned that by this time in DVD's life:
DVD only had an install base in the US of 5M units (about where Blu-ray is now).
DVD only just saw its first million seller (Matrix)
VHS supporters were calling for the death of DVD because big releases like The Phantom Menace weren't even being released on the format.
The first major Disney animated features were just now being released to the format in barebones editions.
Just in support alone Blu-ray is WELL beyond where DVD was, and in terms of sales Blu-ray is matching the installed base pound for pound and only slightly behind in market share (which is understandable given the economy).
And the move to digital download? Considering many connections in america are still taking an hour or more to sufficiently buffer an HD movie and that is at 720p, let alone 1080p at a compression ratio that is much lower than what's currently being offered for download.
Digital downloads will eventually take over, but we are looking at 5 years out minimum, at which time Blu-ray will be 8 years old. Not a bad age for a dead format (DVD just turned 11 this year).
reilo said:
Are people still bitter that their favorite format didn't make it?
some, yes. which is absolutely pathetic. But for others, these are the same arguments, complaints, criticisms, and justifications we heard back in the early days of VHS:
"My VHS tapes look just as good on my 27" TV as DVDs do."
"DVDs are too expensive. Let me know when they come under $20 for new titles."
"I'm not paying $200 for a new DVD player when I can get a VCR for $50."
"Why do I need DVD when my DirecTV/Dish service has 15 channels of PPV at any given time." (The digital download equivalent)
"I can't even get Star Wars or Indiana Jones on DVD."
We've heard all of these exact same arguments before and a massive outcry. People think DVD was some sort of overnight success, but those of us who got in on it in 1997 remember reading dvdtalk and digitalbits and htf and avs waiting on every announcement, waiting to hear when the biggies were making it to the format, and just hoping that our new format didn't turn out like laserdisc... and it worked out just fine. So will this. And while DD will eventually put a ding in Blu-ray, it isn't even close yet. Ask anyone who actually USES DD now and they'll all tell you the same story "Yeah, I bought so and so on my 360/PS3 and started the download for overnight so it will be ready tomorrow." and the streaming services (VUDU, Netflix, etc). They aren't even close in quality to 720p 360/PSN downloads, let alone blu-ray.. those are nothing more than a stop gap to true 1080p streaming, and until that comes along, blu-ray is quite safe.
Susurrus said:
Also, my family was an early adopter of DVD, and I remember stopping at a Blockbuster, and my father just chit chatting w/ one of the employees and asked "how long do you think before DVDs will overtake VHS?" and he said "never", just like some of y'all are doin. (Just thought I'd throw this in, I now as well as anyone they don't necessarily know what they're talking about.)
this is actually really fucked up and goes to what I am talking about. This same shit happened before, yet you have all of these technology writers acting like DVD busted out at the starting gate... Now if these tech writers were like 21 or something maybe I can understand it, but you have tech journalists in their 30s and 40s who should be able to fucking remember back to 11 years ago and how DVD was doing. The only thing I can think of is a) they weren't apart of the early days of DVD which frankly, if you haven't been interested in home theater technology for even 10 years, I am not going to take your predictions for anything as you don't have enough knowledge of the field to back them up or b) they were spewing this same shit about DVD and VHS in which case, well.... look how that turned out.