Yea well the American FGC is just very Capcom oriented and you can find the roots in EVO or at least the instigator. EVO is the biggest FG tournament and it has always featured SF and MVC at the main stage.
Until a game overtakes those two.... the American FGC will remain Capcom influenced. Its sort of a vicious cycle... EVO makes SF/MVC mainstage, people get hyped over it and play it the most, those two games get most entrants and EVO puts them at main stage again repeating the cycle.
I just can't see a game overtaking those two period.
No anime game is ever going to do it. Tekken almost had a chance, but I think Namco dropped the ball on that.
MK fell too far last decade that it won't catch up. Smash is too tied to the fate of Nintendo.
My predicted lineup
USF4 if USF4 is out by then, AE otherwise
Marvel
Smash of some sort- Melee or Project M
BBCP - Balance patch is going to save this game
KI- that sponsorship money
TTT2 even as bad as it's doing- FR will give it a boost, and they'll want a token 3D fighter
fan vote game- predict SG wins this.