• Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.

The Ashes 2015 |OT| Three Mitchells v Three Lions

Status
Not open for further replies.

Antiwhippy

the holder of the trombone
So he's still going in the LO game then? He's always been at his best in the LO game anyway.

I wouldn't say that he had a great career, but congratulations on a decent and somewhat interesting career.
 

kmag

Member
England making another fast start in the ODI. The Australian opening spells at the top of the innings have been horrific all series. Roy's looked excellent but he's been fed pretty ordinary bowling.
 

kmag

Member
Slip taken out and then of course the batsman edges.

They basically haven't got a clue how to bowl to Roy. This often happens when a batsman first comes into international cricket and is in decent form. I think in those situations you keep the slip in.

If he's in for another 5 overs he'll put England in a really strong position to set a 320+ score

This Australian batting line up looks a bit weaker than in previous games with Finch (who's lacking matches) up top and Agar in for Watson. Even Pattinson isn't as good a batter as NCN in the shorter formats.

Edit: Agar gets Roy. The ball's been gripping. Agar/Maxwell against Taylor and Morgan should be interesting.
 
Ok, so what is WASP? Some sort of prediction based on runrate? It dropped 20 runs when Roy got out, so is wickets remaining taken into account as well?
 

kmag

Member
Ok, so what is WASP? Some sort of prediction based on runrate? It dropped 20 runs when Roy got out, so is wickets remaining taken into account as well?

It's a statistical analysis tool which matches the current match position to a database of all previous ODI results since 2006 factoring in what the par score should be.

It relies on the commentators putting in what they reckon the par score is so it's pretty fallible.

Oh fuck it I'm not explaining it well, wikipedia's got a good summary

The prediction is based upon factors like the ease of scoring on the day according to the pitch, weather and boundary size. For the team batting first, it gives the prediction of the final total. For the team batting second, it gives the probability of the chasing team winning, although it does not just take the match situation into the equation. Predictions are based on the average team playing against the average team in those conditions.
The models are based on a database of all non-shortened One Day International (ODI) matches and Twenty20 games played between top-eight countries since late 2006 (slightly further back for Twenty20 games). The batting-first model estimates the additional runs likely to be scored as a function of the number of balls and wickets remaining. The batting-second model estimates the probability of winning as a function of balls and wickets remaining, runs scored to date, and the target score. Projected score or required run-rate will not qualitatively show the real picture as they fail to take into the account the quality of the batting team and the quality of the bowling attack.
 

kmag

Member
Pattinson just looks heavy at the minute. Really should have gotten to that.

Edit: lol Wade is a fucking atrocious wicketkeeper.
 
Wade, you suck.

Yeah relying on an appraisal from commentators kills the stat. Though it's just for TV so really it's just a mental exercise.

Reminds of the one from the T20 where they added strike rate and average together to make the most useless stat of all time. First Strike makes up the vast majority and the stats are not even remotely compatible. Channel Nine went home after the test series so we have the sky feed/commentators for the rest.
 

kmag

Member
England are still really well positioned for a big score here. Australia will need to take wickets, because there's nowt happening for the seamers (other than cummins pace) and while it's spinning, they've had no luck keeping the run rate down.

Edit: while not a chance, Wade chests another one.
 

kmag

Member
If England don't get 330 plus here, they'll never will. Other than a bit of spin (which Wade has routinely messed up when it's presented the chance) nowts happening. The Australian spinners have sort of have bowled well but given the conditions they should have done more here, they've not taken wickets and they've not stopped the scoring. Australian ground fielding has looked weary as well, Pattinson and Finch are big units and don't seem to get around the pitch well.

Australia aren't going to chase that down given the turn.

Edit: I knew that LBW shout was out, madness they didn't review it given how chanceless it's been here.

Wade misses another one. Very difficult chance, but you've seen them taken.
 

kmag

Member
England on for 360 here? 181 after 30. Australias bowling seems consist of just trying to bowl it as quickly as possible, no cutters or slower balls.
 

Jezbollah

Member
Morgan and Taylor. Specialist ODI batters (and two very much in form).

I suspect when both are eventually out the run rate will greatly decrease..
 

kmag

Member
Starc dearie me, bowling like a drain. Smith can't continue bowling him.

Australia need to take pace off here. Smith captaining by rote here. The pace off had restricted the scoring the last couple of overs.
 

kmag

Member
Quite why Starc is still bowling anyones guess.

England end up with exactly 300, the wicket looks to have slowed right up. Australia have a chance, it's a decent pitch and under lights with the dew it should limit the spin, but that Australian line up looks a batter or two short now. Depends on how an out of practice Finch goes. I think the lack of pace of Englands bowlers will help them.

Australia need to rest Starc for the rest of this series he looks very tired.

Taylor will take all the plaudits, but dearie me that was a pretty selfish hundred never accelerated at all and spent the last 20 runs (6 overs) aiming for the hundred instead of pushing the score up. England favourites from here out but Australia have a chance if they bat well, however I've got a sneaky feeling Finch won't hang around long. England have better spinners as well, Australia's spinners were unlucky and both Morgan (thanks, Wade), and Taylor (missed review) should have went.
 

kmag

Member
Burns goes for 9 33/1 after 5.1. Never got going. Australia may well struggle here the ball isn't coming on that well.
 

kmag

Member
Smith goes, excellent catch by Steven Finn. Australia are losing this one, really starting to struggle to time the ball here. Falling well behind the rate the last couple of overs.
 

kmag

Member
106/3 Finch goes off Rashid. Silly shot under the circumstances they weren't keeping up with the rate but they were still well set. Australia's C side in real trouble against Englands B side. Maxwell won't last long, this game is about milking the spinners on this pitch not trying to tonk them.

Rashid a bit like Ali is a pretty ordinary bowler who is only dangerous when you're forcing the pace against him.

Maxwell and Bailey looking lost here against the spinners.

Joel Garner seems to not understand the wide rule. That's two obvious wides he's let England off with to preserve 'maiden' overs.
 

kmag

Member
Australian's can't play spin. It's not turning corners here but they have no concept of just milking it. Having said it they've hit a couple of awful balls right to fielders.
 

kmag

Member
Maxwell is a fucking idiot. An absolute idiot. He's taken the first two balls of the over for 4 each with the reverse sweep, does he think the fucking bowler is as much of a cretin as he is and will offer it up again? But no lets just premeditate yet another reverse sweep and get out. Australia are done here thanks to some fucking mindless stupidity from the 'big show'.
 

kmag

Member
So the question here today is how Maxwell will manufacturer getting himself out in the late 80's or 90's. He's truly adept at it, the types of dismissals where he approaches a landmark are amazingly diverse.

Thought it a bit silly for Australia to choose to bat. It's not a day/night game, and with the 10.30 starts in September there's always a bit of early nip but then Morgan said England would have batted as well so perhaps Willey (who is a good player) just bowled really well. The Lords one day final is notorious for teams being put bat for that very reason.

The England batting line up looks especially long today, and the Australian bowling line up looks a bit threadbare especially with the lack of left handers in the attack.
 

kmag

Member
And there Maxwell goes. Stoinis in now, he looked shall we say fucking awful in the T20.

Edit no they changed the order Marsh is in.

Still 20 overs to get through for Australia. They'll be aiming for about 300 I think, which might be a bit short but they're running out of batters.

How did Bailey ever do so well in India, he looks almost completely incapable of playing against spin here, very painful innings this for an ODI his strike rate is falling towards 65.
 

kmag

Member
Losing the two set batsman in the same over mean Australia aren't getting anywhere 300.

Stoinis goes to absolutely no ones surprise. He's looked shit everytime he's been on the field for Australia and what's worse he's ever poorer with the ball than he is with the bat.
 

Moobabe

Member
Moeen Ali must be the most frustrating player to play against - with bat and ball.

He looks sloppy at the crease, plays and misses constantly and with the ball he is extremely average and gets wickets simply because batsmen don't rate him and try and smash him out the ground.

He does Maxwell with pace - "great bowling!" they all say, but the ball didn't turn at all despite him flighting it and placing the seam to turn. He strikes me as a pretty lucky cricketer.

Still - some average batting again from some of the Australians. Finch, Stoinis, Burns and now Marsh as well.
 

kmag

Member
50 for Matty Wade. Great batting from him. 299 for Australia, good stuff.

Great recovery from Wade and Hastings, but I think that looks a bit short on this pitch especially with the bowling line up from Australia which is pretty inexperienced.
 

DeSo

Banned
Great recovery from Wade and Hastings, but I think that looks a bit short on this pitch.
Yep, particularly with our bowling attack. Hastings and Stoinis are trash which leaves two bowlers to do the bulk of the work.
 
A

A More Normal Bird

Unconfirmed Member
Hastings sure picked up the pace. Two big partnerships for Australia after looking to be in trouble.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top Bottom